The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 40.2%
Draw 22.9%
Ottawa Senators 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
23%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
22.7%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
44.4%
44.4%
Detroit Red Wings - Ottawa Senators Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ottawa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)
30. Ersson S. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)
10. Spence J.
20. Johansson A.
72. Chabot T. (C)
33. Arvidsson V.
19. Batherson D.
71. Larkin D. (C)
18. Stutzle T. (A)
23. Raymond L. (A)
37. Foegele W.
Line 2
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
26. Yakemchuk C.
8. Chiarot B.
43. Kleven T.
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M.
20. Zetterlund F.
58. Finnie E.
24. Cozens D.
93. DeBrincat A.
27. Eklund W.
Line 3
72. Faulk J.
5. Crotty C.
42. Johansson A.
33. Matinpalo N.
55. Kolesar K.
28. Giroux C. (A)
18. Copp A.
12. Pinto S.
27. Rasmussen M.
22. Amadio M.
Line 4
24. Englund A.
42. Hodgson H.
29. Danielson N.
83. Halliday S.
34. Mazur C.
21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
80. Tarasov D. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. Green T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:44, 0 - 1, Stutzle T. (G), Batherson D. (A), Greig R. (A2)
03:16, 1 - 1, DeBrincat A. (G), Danielson N. (A), Mazur C. (A2)
07:18, Seider M. (2 min),
11:01, Cousins N. (2 min),
13:14, 2 - 1, Larkin D. (G), Arvidsson V. (A), DeBrincat A. (A2)
14:15, Copp A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:48, Matinpalo N. (2 min),
02:01, 3 - 1, Arvidsson V. (G), Larkin D. (A), Raymond L. (A2)
04:30, 4 - 1, Faulk J. (G), Wallinder W. (A), Raymond L. (A2)
05:55, Johansson A. (2 min),
06:08, 4 - 2, Batherson D. (G), Eklund W. (A), Yakemchuk C. (A2)
15:51, Batherson D. (2 min),
20:00, Larkin D. (2 min),
20:00, DeBrincat A. (2 min),
20:00, Chiarot B. (2 min),
20:00, Pinto S. (2 min),
20:00, Greig R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:20, Greig R. (2 min),
10:30, 4 - 3, Eklund W. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
15:37, Kolesar K. (2 min),
18:17, Batherson D. (2 min),
19:10, 5 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Raymond L. (A), Faulk J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Detroit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Detroit has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Detroit: Bernard-Docker J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kasper M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Larkin D.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Ottawa: Burakovsky A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
MacDermid K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Sanderson J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Zub A.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Detroit has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:73 (averaging 2.6:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Detroit against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 28:41 goals (averaging 2.5:3.7 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Detroit Red Wings: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Red Wings - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 38.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 38.5%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.