Match Info

NMHL

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Dizelist Penza		MHK Ryazan

	1	X	2
	4.16	4.65	1.58
	3.5	4.6	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.59)	4.63 ↓ (5.5)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizelist Penza
23.6%

Draw
19.6%

MHK Ryazan
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

16.9%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

16.8%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

MHK Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MHK Ryazan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:09, 0 - 1, Dolgikh V. (G), Anokhin P. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizelist won 2.

Dizelist has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

MHK Ryazan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dizelist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, MHK Ryazan is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizelist won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:56. (average 2.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizelist won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2.4:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizelist Penza
RHL
18.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizelist Penza	0:1 penalties ✺
05.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.09.25	Dizelist Penza - Kristall Saratov	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Dizelist Penza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL
- MHK Ryazan
RHL
18.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:1 ✺
13.10.25	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:1 ✺
09.10.25	Belgorod - MHK Ryazan	1:10 ✺
08.10.25	Belgorod - MHK Ryazan	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
18.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:2
01.12.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	5:2
30.11.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:1 OT
14.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	5:4
13.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	3:2 penalties
10.03.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:4
09.03.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	4:3 penalties

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