Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Dornbirn		Fehérvár AV 19

	1	X	2
	2	4.5	2.75
				Watch
	1.8	4.75	2.95
	2	4.6	2.85
	1.99	4.9	2.73
	2	4.5	2.75
	1.97	4.3	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.38)	4.59 ↑ (4.47)	2.85 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
47.3%

Draw
20.2%

Fehérvár AV 19
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

21%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

15.5%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dornbirn's performance.

Fehérvár AV 19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fehérvár AV 19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dornbirn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fehérvár AV 19 than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fehérvár AV 19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dornbirn - Fehérvár AV 19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dornbirn is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fehérvár AV 19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fehérvár AV 19 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 48 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 23 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 25 matches and goals 144-142.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 80-70.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
29.10.21	Dornbirn - Bratislava Capitals	Canceled ✺
26.10.21	TWK Innsbruck - Dornbirn	6:3 ✺
24.10.21	Dornbirn - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4 ✺
22.10.21	Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo	1:5 ✺
17.10.21	Dornbirn - TWK Innsbruck	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLL
- SAPA Fehervar AV 19
Austrian Ice Hockey League
29.10.21	Bolzano - Fehérvár AV 19	3:2 ✺
26.10.21	Villacher - Fehérvár AV 19	2:3 OT ✺
24.10.21	Fehérvár AV 19 - EC KAC	2:3 OT ✺
22.10.21	Fehérvár AV 19 - Black Wings Linz	6:1 ✺
16.10.21	Bolzano - Fehérvár AV 19	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.10.21	Fehérvár AV 19 - Dornbirn	1:3
01.10.21	Dornbirn - Fehérvár AV 19	3:6
02.02.21	Dornbirn - Fehérvár AV 19	4:3 OT
15.01.21	Fehérvár AV 19 - Dornbirn	0:3
22.11.20	Dornbirn - Fehérvár AV 19	2:3
09.10.20	Fehérvár AV 19 - Dornbirn	4:5 OT
18.02.20	Dornbirn - Fehérvár AV 19	3:2

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