Match Info

Date: 17 December 2021, Friday


	Dornbirn		Orli Znojmo

	1	X	2
	3	4.65	1.86
	3.2	4.75	1.8	Watch
	2.95	4.35	1.89
	3.25	4.8	1.87
	3.16	5.1	1.79
	3	4.6	1.85
	3.28	4.6	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.82)	4.69 ↑ (4.33)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
29.8%

Draw
19.8%

Orli Znojmo
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

21.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

15.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Orli Znojmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dornbirn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orli Znojmo than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orli Znojmo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Dornbirn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orli Znojmo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dornbirn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dornbirn have a series of home games.

Orli Znojmo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 51 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 34 matches and goals 138-191.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 73-80.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
16.12.21	Dornbirn - Graz 99ers	2:6 ✺
11.12.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	2:3 ✺
10.12.21	Dornbirn - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	0:4 ✺
07.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	3:5 ✺
04.12.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLLW
- Orli Znojmo
Austrian Ice Hockey League
12.12.21	Orli Znojmo - Black Wings Linz	4:1 ✺
10.12.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	5:3 ✺
07.12.21	TWK Innsbruck - Orli Znojmo	6:3 ✺
05.12.21	Orli Znojmo - EC KAC	3:2 penalties ✺
03.12.21	Fehérvár AV 19 - Orli Znojmo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
19.11.21	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	2:1 OT
22.10.21	Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo	1:5
29.02.20	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	5:3
02.02.20	Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo	2:1 OT
21.12.19	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	5:2
08.12.19	Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo	2:4
15.11.19	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	4:3

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