Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 6

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Eisarena Salzburg (Salzburg)


	Red Bull Salzburg		Bolzano

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.30	2.55
	2.50	4.10	2.30
	2.05	4.40	2.65
	2.20	4.14	2.67
	2.22	4.45	2.52
	2.17	4.05	2.60
	2.18	4.05	2.61
	2.19	4.20	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.51)	4.21 ↑ (4.02)	2.56 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
41.9%

Draw
22%

Bolzano
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

23%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.

Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Kickert D. (G)	70. Domingue L. (G)
62. Kalynuk W.	92. Leslie Z.
22. Robertson D.	5. van d. L. J.
3. Schneider P. (A)	19. McClure B.
70. Nissner B.	15. Elson T.
16. Auer L. C.	24. Schneider C. (A)
Line 2
95. Horl L.	22. Buono C.
4. Nienhuis N.	74. Hillman B.
96. Huber M. (A)	10. Gazley D. (A)
77. Brooks A.	77. Bradley M.
24. Poisson N.	76. Ratcliffe I.
Line 3
6. Lee J.	53. Larcher E.
44. Galipeau O.	26. Kivihalme T.
5. Raffl T. (C)	11. DiGiacinto C.
9. Wukovits A.	9. Mantenuto D.
8. Bohm M.	13. Gellon D.
Line 4
93. Lanzinger F.	27. Remolato N.
92. Rebernig A.	18. Misley B.
26. Hochkofler P.	93. Frigo L. (C)
68. Gesson A.
7. Wurzer M.
Substitutes
35. Tolvanen A. (G)	31. Costantini M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
10:28, 0 - 1, Bradley M. (G), Ratcliffe I. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
12:41, 0 - 2, McClure B. (G), Elson T. (A), Schneider C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
11:25, 1 - 2, Schneider P. (G), Robertson D. (A), Kalynuk W. (A2)
18:19, 1 - 3, Mantenuto D. (G),
19:47, 1 - 4, Gazley D. (G), Schneider C. (A), van d. L. J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Red Bull Salzburg (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bolzano has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Red Bull Salzburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:50 (averaging 3.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:27 goals (averaging 3.8:2.7 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Salzburg: 18.93% Bolzano: 14.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Bolzano	8	5	1	2	0	31:20	19
7	Salzburg	9	4	0	1	4	30:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Bolzano - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
27.09.26	Ferencvárosi - Red Bull Salzburg	3:6 ✺
25.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Villacher	2:4 ✺
23.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - TWK Innsbruck	2:3 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	6:3 ✺
18.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
27.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Bolzano	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	Graz 99ers - Bolzano	4:3 OT ✺
20.09.26	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	6:3 ✺
18.09.26	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Bolzano	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
20.09.26	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	6:3
18.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	7:4
05.01.26	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 penalties
03.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	1:4
12.09.25	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	3:4
28.03.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	4:2
25.03.25	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 OT

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