Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 7

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Sparkasse Arena (Bolzano)


	Bolzano		EC KAC

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	2.65
	2.10	4.33	2.70
	2.19	4.18	2.63
	2.26	4.07	2.62
	2.17	4.46	2.58	Watch
	2.2	3.95	2.55
	2.19	4.05	2.54
	2.09	4.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.09)	4.17 ↓ (4.51)	2.6 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolzano
42.6%

Draw
22.1%

EC KAC
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

20.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

22.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

EC KAC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Bolzano - EC KAC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Domingue L. (G)	33. Vorauer F. (G)
92. Leslie Z.	82. Nickl T.
5. van d. L. J.	92. Unterweger C. (A)
19. McClure B.	94. Drozg J.
15. Elson T.	74. St. Denis T.
24. Schneider C. (A)	8. Petersen N.
Line 2
22. Buono C.	28. Goransson M.
74. Hillman B.	41. Jensen J. (A)
10. Gazley D. (A)	90. Fraser M.
77. Bradley M.	27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
76. Ratcliffe I.	89. Herburger R.
Line 3
53. Larcher E.	64. Preiml M.
26. Kivihalme T.	3. MacKinnon W.
11. DiGiacinto C.	98. Obersteiner D.
9. Mantenuto D.	81. van Ee F.
13. Gellon D.	6. Sablattnig T.
Line 4
20. Fuchs J.	45. Ofner B.
23. Frick N.	19. Waschnig D.
27. Remolato N.	21. Micelli N.
18. Misley B.
93. Frigo L. (C)
Substitutes
31. Costantini M. (G)	31. Muller P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
07:30, 1 - 0, Mantenuto D. (G), Gellon D. (A), Gazley D. (A2)
14:21, 2 - 0, Kivihalme T. (G), Gazley D. (A),
17:18, 3 - 0, Bradley M. (G), Ratcliffe I. (A), Buono C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:55, 4 - 0, McClure B. (G), Leslie Z. (A), Schneider C. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolzano won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Bolzano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, EC KAC has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bolzano has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:49 (averaging 2.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bolzano against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 24:34 goals (averaging 2.4:3.4 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Klagenfurt: 17.26% Bolzano: 14.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Bolzano	8	5	1	2	0	31:20	19
3	Klagenfurt	9	5	1	0	3	37:27	17

Last Results with these Odds

EC KAC - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.02%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
30.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	1:4 ✺
27.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Bolzano	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	Graz 99ers - Bolzano	4:3 OT ✺
20.09.26	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	6:3 ✺
18.09.26	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- EC KAC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
30.09.26	EC KAC - Milano	2:4 ✺
27.09.26	EC KAC - Graz 99ers	6:2 ✺
25.09.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	3:7 ✺
23.09.26	EC KAC - Villacher	6:1 ✺
20.09.26	EC KAC - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
27.02.26	Bolzano - EC KAC	3:6
01.01.26	EC KAC - Bolzano	1:2 OT
29.10.25	Bolzano - EC KAC	3:5
21.09.25	EC KAC - Bolzano	1:5
17.01.25	EC KAC - Bolzano	0:1 penalties
26.12.24	Bolzano - EC KAC	0:3
29.11.24	Bolzano - EC KAC	4:3 penalties

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