The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EHC Basel 63.1%
Draw 18.6%
Bellinzona Snakes 18.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.7%
17%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
19.6%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EHC Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Bellinzona Snakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Basel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona Snakes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
EHC Basel - Bellinzona Snakes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
42. Haller F. (G)
35. Beglieri A. (G)
67. Aeschlimann M.
57. Martin T.
7. Nater J. (A)
4. Togni E.
17. Schaub J.
82. Besanidis A.
94. Kummer D. (C)
79. Conceprio A. (C)
25. Serkins D.
71. Pedrazzini G.
Line 2
9. Thiry T.
3. Favre N.
27. Bisig R.
17. Comploj F.
66. Barbei G.
18. Togni D.
23. Fuss N.
74. Bernazzi E. (A)
8. Liniger L.
22. Schwenninger D.
Line 3
24. Bachofner L.
93. Delmas Q.
86. Bircher A.
7. Moreno T. (A)
6. Reidzans D.
77. Marchetti I.
51. Brugger S. (A)
34. Schenk L.
21. Hamr D.
16. Bonvin B.
Line 4
26. Guignard A.
8. Meier D.
56. Huber U.
86. Palmisano M.
88. Blaser J.
67. De Luca J.
4. Zurcher K.
24. Dey R.
66. Reynaud T.
Substitutes
1. Rada G. (G)
29. Feuz A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
11:57, 1 - 0, Barbei G. (G), Kummer D. (A), Liniger L. (A2)
18:11, 1 - 1, Moreno T. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:46, 2 - 1, Hamr D. (G), Brugger S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EHC Basel won 4.
EHC Basel has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bellinzona has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
EHC Basel holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for EHC Basel in today's match, at odds of 1.32.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EHC Basel has recorded 17 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 83:32 (averaging 4.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EHC Basel against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 50:10 goals (averaging 5.6:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Basel
12
8
1
2
1
44:33
28
7
Bellinzona Snakes
12
3
1
2
6
31:39
13
Last Results with these Odds
Bellinzona Snakes - the odds 5.93 are the expected chance of winning is 15.29%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.