The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chur 39.7%
Draw 22.2%
EHC Basel 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
21.2%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
23.9%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
EHC Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chur than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Basel than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Chur - EHC Basel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
51. Brun A. (G)
32. Henauer A. (G)
81. Bartholet D.
67. Aeschlimann M.
64. Weber S. (A)
7. Nater J.
84. Canova J. (A)
21. Hamr D.
42. Ramsauer R.
71. Supinski B. (C)
47. Brunner P.
10. Stukel J.
Line 2
91. Smons S.
9. Thiry T.
8. Cantin N.
18. Bisig R.
89. Rentsch N.
66. Barbei G.
9. Melnalksnis R.
23. Fuss N.
87. Jenni T.
8. Liniger L.
Line 3
73. Winter K.
24. Bachofner L.
21. Guggenheim B.
4. Flutsch A.
62. Aeschlimann M.
17. Schaub J.
15. Dahler R. (C)
94. Kummer D. (A)
11. Wyss L.
6. Serkins D.
Line 4
77. Despont V.
91. Montandon R. G.
86. Pekar M.
15. Guignard A.
37. Bont K.
56. Huber U.
22. Frei L.
51. Brugger S. (A)
43. Blaser J.
Substitutes
18. Hammerer G.
42. Haller F. (G)
38. Neckar M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:47, 0 - 1, Hamr D. (G), Bachofner L. (A),
15:36, 1 - 1, Wyss L. (G), Guggenheim B. (A), Aeschlimann M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:29, 1 - 2, Kummer D. (G), Stukel J. (A), Supinski B. (A2)
16:09, 1 - 3, Barbei G. (G), Fuss N. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chur won 4.
In recent outings, Chur has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
EHC Basel shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
EHC Basel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Chur has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:36 (averaging 2.2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chur against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 21:15 goals (averaging 2.6:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Basel
8
5
1
1
1
29:24
18
5
Chur
7
3
0
1
3
24:23
10
Last Results with these Odds
EHC Basel - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.