Match Info

Swiss League

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: St. Jakob Arena (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	EHC Basel		Chur

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	2.95
	1.82	4	3.3
	1.78	3.8	3.19
	1.85	4.21	3.43	Watch
	1.78	3.98	3.51
	1.76	4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.51)	4.02 ↓ (4.77)	3.28 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Basel
49.8%

Draw
22.6%

Chur
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

19.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

20.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EHC Basel's form might have worsened.

Chur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Basel than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EHC Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chur than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

EHC Basel - Chur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Chur (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
42. Haller F. (G)	51. Brun A. (G)
7. Nater J.	81. Bartholet D.
92. Guggenheim B.	64. Weber S.
89. Schweri K.	96. Petrovic N.
71. Supinski B. (C)	42. Ramsauer R.
10. Stukel J.	23. Reichle L.
Line 2
67. Aeschlimann M.	91. Smons S.
86. Bircher A.	8. Cantin N.
17. Schaub J.	88. Berri F.
28. Schlapfer E.	9. Melnalksnis R.
51. Brugger S.	18. Hammerer G.
Line 3
24. Bachofner L.	27. Eggenberger F.
50. Aeschbach C.	94. Rubanik D.
46. Rossi M.	56. Aeschlimann M.
94. Kummer D.	83. Dukurs D.
66. Barbei G.	55. Wagner M.
Line 4
21. Hamr D.	29. Fuchs F.
96. Hafliger A.	92. Naf S.
56. Huber U.	15. Dahler R. (C)
16. Rexha A.	11. Wyss L.
8. Liniger L.
Substitutes
30. Kurt L. (G)	87. Jenni T.
	35. Neuenschwander E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
11:17, 1 - 0, Bircher A. (G), Schaub J. (A), Brugger S. (A2)
12:38, 2 - 0, Aeschbach C. (G), Kummer D. (A),
13:45, 3 - 0, Liniger L. (G), Rexha A. (A), Huber U. (A2)
19:05, 4 - 0, Bachofner L. (G), Schaub J. (A), Aeschbach C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:42, 5 - 0, Aeschbach C. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EHC Basel won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Chur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

EHC Basel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, EHC Basel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 2.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, EHC Basel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 4:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Basel	11	7	1	2	1	39:31	25
5	Chur	10	4	0	1	5	34:34	13

Last Results with these Odds

EHC Basel - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.5%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Chur - the odds 4.88 are the expected chance of winning is 19.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Basel
Swiss League Hockey
24.01.26	Bellinzona Snakes - EHC Basel	2:3 OT ✺
23.01.26	EHC Basel - Visp	6:1 ✺
18.01.26	Arosa - EHC Basel	4:6 ✺
17.01.26	Arosa - EHC Basel	0:7 ✺
15.01.26	EHC Basel - Sierre	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL
- EHC Chur
Swiss League Hockey
23.01.26	Sierre - Chur	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Bellinzona Snakes - Chur	2:4 ✺
16.01.26	Chur - La Chaux-de-Fonds	7:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chur - GCK Lions	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	Thurgau - Chur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
05.12.25	Chur - EHC Basel	4:0
09.11.25	EHC Basel - Chur	1:2 OT
26.10.25	Chur - EHC Basel	3:2
20.09.25	EHC Basel - Chur	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.25	Chur - EHC Basel	2:3
Swiss League Hockey
18.01.25	Chur - EHC Basel	1:2 OT
17.12.24	EHC Basel - Chur	5:1

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