Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - ROUND 50

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	EHC Freiburg		Heilbronner Falken

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.75	3.4
	1.75	4.5	3.5
	1.73	4.5	3.4
	1.68	4.18	3.3
	1.7	4.5	3.4
	1.72	4.55	3.58
	1.72	4.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	4.5 ↑ (4.18)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Freiburg
53.2%

Draw
20.3%

Heilbronner Falken
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

20.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

22.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Heilbronner Falken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilbronner Falken than the current prediction. (-2%)

EHC Freiburg - Heilbronner Falken Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 1.

Freiburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Heilbronner Falken is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heilbronner Falken could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 110-129.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 51-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
24.02.23	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - EHC Freiburg	9:2 ✺
19.02.23	EHC Freiburg - Crimmitschau	2:3 ✺
17.02.23	Ravensburg - EHC Freiburg	6:4 ✺
14.02.23	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	4:1 ✺
12.02.23	EHC Freiburg - Bayreuth Tigers	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Heilbronner Falken
German DEL2
24.02.23	Heilbronner Falken - VER Selb	2:3 OT ✺
19.02.23	Heilbronner Falken - Ravensburg	3:2 ✺
17.02.23	Krefeld Pinguine - Heilbronner Falken	3:4 ✺
12.02.23	Heilbronner Falken - Kassel Huskies	1:4 ✺
10.02.23	Bayreuth Tigers - Heilbronner Falken	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
15.01.23	Heilbronner Falken - EHC Freiburg	2:4
02.12.22	EHC Freiburg - Heilbronner Falken	4:5 penalties
18.10.22	Heilbronner Falken - EHC Freiburg	6:5 penalties
19.02.22	Heilbronner Falken - EHC Freiburg	4:3 OT
16.01.22	EHC Freiburg - Heilbronner Falken	0:9
10.12.21	Heilbronner Falken - EHC Freiburg	3:6
29.10.21	EHC Freiburg - Heilbronner Falken	3:7

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