Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - Round 51

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Echte Helden Arena (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...


	EHC Freiburg		VER Selb

	1	X	2
	1.56	5	4
	1.51	4.75	4.35	Watch
	1.52	4.65	4.1
	1.55	5.02	4.42	Watch
	1.44	4.6	4.4
	1.53	4.6	4.56
	1.51	4.75	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.87)	4.77 ↑ (4.27)	4.31 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Freiburg
59.9%

Draw
19.1%

VER Selb
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

21.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

20.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EHC Freiburg's performance.

VER Selb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VER Selb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EHC Freiburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VER Selb than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VER Selb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EHC Freiburg - VER Selb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
64. Cerveny P. (G)	27. Weidekamp M. (G)
61. Hempel N.	52. Sproul R.
7. Ventela S.	7. Hordler F.
84. Elo E.	47. Miglio N.
9. Linsenmaier N.	10. Smith R.
91. Schwamberger T.	91. Winquist J.
Line 2
24. Leitner M.	42. Heyter T.
86. De Los Rios A.	59. Glassl M.
3. Burghart Y.	28. George J.
71. O'Donnell S.	9. Raedeke B.
90. Gilmour B.	63. Bassen C.
Line 3
27. Neher M.	55. Plauschin J.
77. Heider P.	74. Raab M.
81. Billich C.	88. Schwamberger D.
26. Streu S.	45. McMillan C.
52. Miller D.	22. Campbell C.
Line 4
92. Hafenrichter L.	38. Stowasser S.
17. Korte C.	23. Hofmann J.
21. Saakyan G.	17. Park S.
13. Tripcke H.	79. Krymskiy N.
Substitutes
40. Hegmann F. (G)	37. Carr K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
07:24, 0 - 1, Winquist J. (G), Miglio N. (A),
17:06, 0 - 2, Schwamberger D. (G), Raedeke B. (A), Heyter T. (A2)
19:11, 0 - 3, Winquist J. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
09:49, 1 - 3, Ventela S. (G), Streu S. (A),
12:22, 2 - 3, Elo E. (G), Linsenmaier N. (A),
17:07, 3 - 3, O'Donnell S. (G), Linsenmaier N. (A), Gilmour B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:30, 4 - 3, O'Donnell S. (G), Elo E. (A), Ventela S. (A2)
13:04, 4 - 4, Glassl M. (G), Bassen C. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:22, 5 - 4, Linsenmaier N. (G),

Preview

Selb is DEL2 (Play Out )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 5.

Recent matches Freiburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Selb has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Freiburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Freiburg to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 71:44 (average 4.2:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34:21 (average 4.3:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
23.02.25	Dresdner Eislöwen - EHC Freiburg	2:3 OT ✺
21.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Starbulls Rosenheim	5:4 OT ✺
16.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	5:4 ✺
14.02.25	Landshut Cannibals - EHC Freiburg	3:2 penalties ✺
11.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLL
- VER Selb
German DEL2
23.02.25	VER Selb - Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim	0:3 ✺
21.02.25	Landshut Cannibals - VER Selb	4:1 ✺
16.02.25	Starbulls Rosenheim - VER Selb	4:2 ✺
14.02.25	VER Selb - Ravensburg	2:3 ✺
11.02.25	Crimmitschau - VER Selb	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
13.12.24	VER Selb - EHC Freiburg	1:4
08.12.24	EHC Freiburg - VER Selb	7:3
15.09.24	VER Selb - EHC Freiburg	3:4 penalties
23.02.24	EHC Freiburg - VER Selb	4:1
12.01.24	VER Selb - EHC Freiburg	4:5 penalties
03.12.23	EHC Freiburg - VER Selb	1:2 penalties
15.10.23	VER Selb - EHC Freiburg	2:3

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