Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	EHC Lustenau		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.25	2.1
	2.45	4.3	2.1
	2.59	4.63	2.2
	2.59	4.64	2.2
	2.4	4.5	2.1
	2.44	4.33	2.2
	2.42	4.4	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.2)	4.44 ↓ (4.45)	2.16 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
36.9%

Draw
20.6%

Gherdëina
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

20.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

20.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gherdëina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 4.

Lustenau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gherdëina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 82-63.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
21.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Cortina	2:3 penalties ✺
19.12.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - EHC Lustenau	5:1 ✺
09.12.23	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	4:2 ✺
07.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Zell am See	4:5 ✺
02.12.23	Steel Wings Linz - EHC Lustenau	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
21.12.23	Gherdëina - Celje	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	1:6 ✺
09.12.23	Gherdëina - Kitzbühel	7:3 ✺
05.12.23	Cortina - Gherdëina	6:4 ✺
03.12.23	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
26.10.23	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:5
20.12.22	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	3:1
15.10.22	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	2:4
11.09.21	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	5:0
25.02.21	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	5:6
09.01.21	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:4
02.03.20	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:4

Upcoming Matches