Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday


	EHC Lustenau		Cortina

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.6	1.72
	3.2	4.4	1.73
	3.45	4.89	1.78
	3.25	4.75	1.73
	3.3	4.45	1.76
	3.25	4.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.28)	4.6 ↓ (4.68)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
27.9%

Draw
19.9%

Cortina
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

19.7%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

19.1%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cortina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

EHC Lustenau - Cortina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cortina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lustenau have a series of guest games.

Cortina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 58-78.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
19.12.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - EHC Lustenau	5:1 ✺
09.12.23	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	4:2 ✺
07.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Zell am See	4:5 ✺
02.12.23	Steel Wings Linz - EHC Lustenau	3:4 ✺
01.12.23	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- SG Cortina
Alps Hockey League
19.12.23	Cortina - Unterland Cavaliers	3:4 OT ✺
09.12.23	Vipiteno - Cortina	2:5 ✺
05.12.23	Cortina - Gherdëina	6:4 ✺
02.12.23	Cortina - KAC II	5:1 ✺
30.11.23	Acroni Jesenice - Cortina	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
16.03.23	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	3:2 OT
14.03.23	EHC Lustenau - Cortina	1:6
11.03.23	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	4:1
09.03.23	EHC Lustenau - Cortina	3:0
07.03.23	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	5:4 OT
24.11.22	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	8:1
13.10.22	EHC Lustenau - Cortina	0:2

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