Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 1 February 2024, Thursday


	EHC Lustenau		Kitzbühel

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.35
	2.32	3.9	2.35
	2.27	4.3	2.19
	2.47	4.04	2.48
	2.25	4	2.5
	2.32	4.3	2.32
	2.35	4	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.38)	4.08 ↓ (4.09)	2.36 (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
39.1%

Draw
22.3%

Kitzbühel
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

22.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

22.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+1%)

EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 3.

Lustenau is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kitzbühel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lustenau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kitzbühel to win the game is with odds 2.33.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 22 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 123-85.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 61-37.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
05.01.24	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	5:3 ✺
03.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Vipiteno	4:5 ✺
30.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
18.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
05.01.24	Kitzbühel - Acroni Jesenice	2:1 ✺
03.01.24	Celje - Kitzbühel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
12.10.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:5 OT
23.09.23	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	4:3 OT
04.02.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:3
21.01.23	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	3:2 penalties
08.12.22	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	6:0
06.10.22	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	4:5 penalties
07.10.21	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	3:4 OT

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