Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	KAC II		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	4.75	5	1.42
	4.55	4.95	1.44
	4.5	4.8	1.43
	5.14	5.04	1.51
	5	5	1.4
	4.73	5.1	1.47
	4.7	5.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (4.96)	5.01 ↓ (5.19)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAC II
19.1%

Draw
18.1%

EHC Lustenau
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

17.9%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

18.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

KAC II - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KAC II won 0.

KAC II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lustenau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lustenau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lustenau is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches KAC II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 26-92.

Including matches at home between the teams KAC II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-49.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
05.01.24	Ritten-Renon - KAC II	3:2 ✺
03.01.24	KAC II - Cortina	3:2 penalties ✺
30.12.23	Gherdëina - KAC II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LLLWL
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
05.01.24	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	5:3 ✺
03.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Vipiteno	4:5 ✺
30.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	2:3 ✺
28.12.23	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
01.12.23	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:7
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2
02.02.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	4:1
28.01.23	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	0:4
03.12.22	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	4:0
22.10.22	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	0:5
10.12.21	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	0:7

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