Match Info

DEL - Round 51

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Saturn Arena (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	ERC Ingolstadt		Augsburger Panther

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.5	4.5	Watch
	1.49	5	5.15
	1.43	5.24	5.83
	1.43	5.23	5.71	Watch
	1.44	5.5	5
	1.42	5.45	5.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	5.32 ↑ (5.1)	5.3 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ERC Ingolstadt
64.6%

Draw
17.6%

Augsburger Panther
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

18.3%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

19.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ERC Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Augsburger Panther has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburger Panther than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Brochu B. (G)	41. Jones P. (G)
4. Ellis M.	62. Schemitsch T.
75. Breton A.	6. Pellizzari L.
17. Girduckis A.	14. Busdeker D.
9. Powell M.	82. Grenier A.
11. Agostino K.	26. Blank A.
Line 2
25. Huttl L.	58. Renner M.
2. Ruopp S.	4. Farrance D.
37. Barber R.	19. Damiani R.
98. Abbandonato P.	20. Kunyk C.
92. Schmolz D.	18. Louis A.
Line 3
55. Tropmann E.	68. Pilu F.
95. Preto P.	9. Wirth M.
83. Kharboutli S.	92. Cramarossa J.
89. Keating A.	33. Wohlgemuth T.
91. Sheen R.	45. Bast J.
Line 4
23. Smallwood J.	83. Zwickl S.
86. Pietta D.	25. Hanke C.
16. Krauss J.	52. Henriquez-Morales E.
	46. Elias M.
Substitutes
1. Pertuch N. (G)	34. Garteig M. (G)
Coaches
. French M.	. Peters B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:14, 1 - 0, Barber R. (G), Sheen R. (A), Abbandonato P. (A2)
09:39, Pilu F. (2 min),
09:48, 2 - 0, Barber R. (G), Breton A. (A), Sheen R. (A2)
12:52, 3 - 0, Agostino K. (G), Pietta D. (A), Smallwood J. (A2)
18:39, Kunyk C. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:01, Jones P. ↓, Garteig M. ↑,
02:36, Tropmann E. (2 min),
07:07, 4 - 0, Preto P. (G), Schmolz D. (A), Barber R. (A2)
13:35, 4 - 1, Hanke C. (G), Elias M. (A), Schemitsch T. (A2)
16:05, 5 - 1, Schmolz D. (G), Barber R. (A),
18:57, 5 - 2, Kunyk C. (G), Damiani R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:40, 6 - 2, Powell M. (G), Girduckis A. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
05:39, Huttl L. (2 min),
09:38, Kharboutli S. (2 min),
09:38, Renner M. (2 min),
10:42, 6 - 3, Grenier A. (G), Wirth M. (A), Busdeker D. (A2)
13:54, 6 - 4, Wirth M. (G), Damiani R. (A),
17:27, 7 - 4, Agostino K. (G), Breton A. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Ingolstadt is Qualified for DEL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4.

Ingolstadt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Augsburger Panther's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ingolstadt is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:40. (average 3.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 37:14. (average 3.7:1.4).

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

ERC Ingolstadt: 9.52% Augsburger Panther: 1.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Augsburger Panther	7	3	1	0	3	25:21	11
11	ERC Ingolstadt	7	2	1	0	4	19:25	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
08.03.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Adler Mannheim	0:4 ✺
06.03.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - ERC Ingolstadt	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Augsburger Panther
German Ice Hockey League
08.03.26	Schwenninger Wild Wings - Augsburger Panther	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Augsburger Panther - Dresdner Eislöwen	6:3 ✺
04.03.26	Kölner Haie - Augsburger Panther	6:2 ✺
01.03.26	Iserlohn Roosters - Augsburger Panther	4:2 ✺
27.02.26	Augsburger Panther - EHC München	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
12.12.25	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	3:4
16.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	5:1
23.10.25	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	4:2
26.01.25	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	2:5
10.01.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	4:1
03.11.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	4:1
19.09.24	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 OT

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