The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ERC Ingolstadt 62.5%
Draw 18.5%
Frankfurt Lions 19%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.3%
18.4%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
19.9%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Frankfurt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frankfurt Lions than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ERC Ingolstadt - Frankfurt Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Williams D. (G)
31. Scheel A. (G)
25. Huttl L. (A)
16. Abeltshauser K. (A)
75. Breton A.
5. Krupp B.
37. Barber R.
86. Brace C. (A)
98. Abbandonato P.
67. Wedman M.
11. Agostino K.
64. Schweiger M.
Line 2
4. Ellis M. (C)
52. Matushkin M. (C)
14. Wasenden E.
20. Kose F.
17. Girduckis A.
18. Uba E.
9. Powell M.
29. Romano A.
91. Sheen R.
33. Leden M.
Line 3
21. Appendino N.
49. Joyaux M.
2. Ruopp S.
71. Froberg L.
89. Keating A.
7. Glover T.
86. Pietta D. (A)
12. Dunham N.
8. Pul E.
91. Wagner A.
Line 4
55. Tropmann E.
24. Bidoul P.
24. Vinzens P.
22. Kose T.
44. Schindler N.
19. van Calster R.
26. Uher D.
Substitutes
1. Stettmer J. (G)
51. Brenner C. (G)
1. Pertuch N. (G)
Coaches
. French M.
. Pokel T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
12:53, Barber R. (2 min),
19:21, Uher D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:55, Girduckis A. (2 min),
11:13, 0 - 1, Kose T. (G),
13:24, 1 - 1, Barber R. (G), Wasenden E. (A), Ellis M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:08, Barber R. (2 min),
03:57, Romano A. (2 min),
07:05, 1 - 2, Wagner A. (G), Glover T. (A), Froberg L. (A2)
16:19, Uher D. (2 min),
16:31, 2 - 2, Barber R. (G), Breton A. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
19:58, Ellis M. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
01:00, Uba E. (2 min),
03:57, Powell M. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Agostino K. (Penalty Shot),
1, Romano A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Barber R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Wagner A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Abbandonato P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Brace C. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kose T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Barber R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Froberg L. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sheen R. (Penalty Shot),
6, Matushkin M. (Penalty Shot),
6, Agostino K. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 11th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4.
Ingolstadt has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Frankfurt Lions has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Ingolstadt for this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Ingolstadt has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:45 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ingolstadt against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 22:23 goals (averaging 2.8:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
ERC Ingolstadt
13
5
2
1
5
40:43
20
12
Frankfurt Lowen
13
3
1
3
6
27:31
14
Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now
ERC Ingolstadt: 10.2% Frankfurt Lowen: 0.82%
Last Results with these Odds
ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.35%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Germany
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Williams D. (G) 
Huttl L. (A) 
Breton A. 
Matushkin M. (C) 
Wasenden E. 
Leden M. 
Ruopp S. 
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