The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SCL Tigers 37.1%
Draw 22.7%
EV Zug 40.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
22.9%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
24.1%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SCL Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SCL Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-4%)
SCL Tigers - EV Zug Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Boltshauser L. (G)
30. Genoni L. (G)
24. Meier N.
16. Diaz R.
50. Riikola J.
66. Sklenicka D.
88. Bachofner J.
90. Tatar T.
11. Bjorninen H.
43. Kovar J.
8. Maenalanen S.
40. Wingerli A.
Line 2
27. Kinnunen S.
32. Bengtsson L.
6. Lehmann N.
3. Moverare J.
28. Allenspach D.
9. Rohrer V.
14. Pettersson E.
88. Senteler S.
54. Dahlen J.
15. Hofmann G.
Line 3
4. Meier G.
65. Schneller E.
42. Baltisberger P.
42. Geisser T.
71. Schmutz J.
8. Gredig R.
40. Schmutz F. (C)
96. Egli C.
25. Eggenberger N.
11. Petrovic N.
Line 4
15. Mathys T.
14. Stadler L.
94. Petrini P.
37. Riva E.
22. Salzgeber J.
77. Wey L.
64. Wagner M.
61. Leuenberger S.
86. Antenen R. N.
Substitutes
13. Lapinskis O.
31. Croce M. (G)
91. Meyer R. (G)
Coaches
. Paterlini T.
. Marjamaki L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
13:42, 0 - 1, Egli C. (G), Bengtsson L. (A), Gredig R. (A2)
15:26, 0 - 2, Hofmann G. (G), Senteler S. (A), Diaz R. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
02:55, 1 - 2, Petrini P. (G), Meier N. (A), Riikola J. (A2)
09:05, 2 - 2, Schmutz F. (G), Meier N. (A), Eggenberger N. (A2)
10:39, 2 - 3, Kovar J. (G), Moverare J. (A), Bengtsson L. (A2)
11:34, 3 - 3, Bachofner J. (G), Meier N. (A), Mathys T. (A2)
14:19, (2 min),
16:42, Leuenberger S. (2 min),
17:49, 4 - 3, Allenspach D. (G), Eggenberger N. (A), Dahlen J. (A2)
19:38, Riikola J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:09, Maenalanen S. (2 min),
14:28, 5 - 3, Baltisberger P. (G), Allenspach D. (A),
16:29, Kovar J. (2 min),
16:29, Bachofner J. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SCL Tigers won 3.
SCL Tigers is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
EV Zug is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
EV Zug could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, EV Zug has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for EV Zug in today's match, at odds of 2.31.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SCL Tigers has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:65 (averaging 2.2:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SCL Tigers against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 22:25 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).