Match Info

National League - Round 50

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: PostFinance Arena (Bern)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Bern		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	3.1	Watch
	2.35	4	2.54
	2.08	4	2.95
	2	4.12	3.05
	1.98	4.21	3.11	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3
	2.08	4.07	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)	4.04 ↑ (3.99)	2.98 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bern
45.3%

Draw
23.2%

EV Zug
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

23.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

24.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Bern - EV Zug Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bern will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Zurkirchen S. (G)	30. Genoni L. (G)
58. Loeffel R.	32. Bengtsson L.
44. Kreis S.	42. Geisser T.
71. Bemstrom E.	15. Hofmann G.
15. Aaltonen M.	90. Tatar T.
23. Lehmann M.	81. Kubalik D.
Line 2
65. Untersander R. (C)	16. Diaz R.
4. Aktell H.	66. Sklenicka D.
9. Ejdsell V.	73. Kunzle M.
48. Sgarbossa M.	88. Senteler S.
86. Vermin J.	96. Vozenilek D.
Line 3
75. Yakovenko A.	14. Stadler L.
51. Rhyn N.	37. Riva E.
8. Marchon M.	22. Eggenberger N.
83. Muller M.	43. Kovar J. (C)
10. Scherwey T.	95. Lindemann C. S.
Line 4
41. Kindschi S.	18. Schlumpf D.
17. Moser L.	77. Wey L.
64. Alge M.	61. Leuenberger S.
	86. Antenen R. N.
Substitutes
88. Schild T.	1. Wolf T. (G)
50. von Burg C. (G)
Coaches
. Ehlers H.	. Groulx B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:43, Scherwey T. (2 min),
02:34, 0 - 1, Diaz R. (G), Senteler S. (A), Eggenberger N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:41, 1 - 1, Scherwey T. (G), Marchon M. (A), Yakovenko A. (A2)
10:55, Kreis S. (2 min),
12:48, Kunzle M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
09:55, Schlumpf D. (2 min),
12:50, Ejdsell V. (2 min),
18:40, Tatar T. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Aktell H. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kunzle M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bemstrom E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Senteler S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ejdsell V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Tatar T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sgarbossa M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kovar J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Aaltonen M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bern won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 42:63. (average 2.1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bern won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 2.1:2.6).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zug: 7.56% Bern: 7.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Bern	9	3	1	3	2	27:26	14
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Last Results with these Odds

Bern - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.48%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

EV Zug - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bern
Swiss National League Hockey
28.02.26	Bern - Biel	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Genève-Servette - Bern	4:3 OT ✺
24.02.26	Bern - EHC Kloten	1:2 OT ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.02.26	Pardubice - Bern	4:5 OT ✺
13.02.26	Bern - Kölner Haie	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
28.02.26	EV Zug - Ambrì-Piotta	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Biel - EV Zug	2:3 ✺
24.02.26	EV Zug - Fribourg-Gottéron	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	2:4 ✺
30.01.26	EV Zug - Lausanne HC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
25.11.25	EV Zug - Bern	4:2
11.10.25	Bern - EV Zug	3:0
09.09.25	EV Zug - Bern	3:0
17.01.25	Bern - EV Zug	1:5
16.11.24	Bern - EV Zug	3:2 OT
13.11.24	EV Zug - Bern	1:6
05.10.24	EV Zug - Bern	4:2

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