The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ERC Ingolstadt 69.1%
Draw 16%
Krefeld Pinguine 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.5%
14.6%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
8%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Krefeld Pinguine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-29.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ERC Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krefeld Pinguine than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krefeld Pinguine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
ERC Ingolstadt - Krefeld Pinguine Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Krefeld Pinguine will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ DEL2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches ERC Ingolstadt won 5.
Recent matches ERC Ingolstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Krefeld Pinguine is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Krefeld Pinguine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match ERC Ingolstadt is certain favorite.
Last 49 head-to-head matches ERC Ingolstadt won 30 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 156-139.
Including matches at home between the teams ERC Ingolstadt won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 80-61.
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