Match Info

DEL - Round 39

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: PSD Bank Nurnberg Arena (Nuremberg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Nurnberg Ice Tigers		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.5	2.1	Watch
	2.8	4.25	2.11	Watch
	2.7	4.6	2.1	Watch
	2.75	4.2	2.05
	2.68	4.33	2.16	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.89)	4.25 ↑ (4.04)	2.1 (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nurnberg Ice Tigers
33.7%

Draw
21.9%

ERC Ingolstadt
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

23.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

24.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nurnberg Ice Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nurnberg Ice Tigers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nurnberg Ice Tigers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ganz L. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
47. Headrick O.	4. Ellis M.
6. Karrer J.	75. Breton A.
10. Barratt E.	17. Girduckis A.
77. Graber W.	89. Keating A.
81. Murray B.	11. Agostino K.
Line 2
74. Haiskanen C.	25. Huttl L.
8. Akdag S.	2. Ruopp S.
95. Gerard C.	37. Barber R.
14. Maier C.	98. Abbandonato P.
49. Heigl T.	92. Schmolz D.
Line 3
41. Weber J.	55. Tropmann E.
24. Weber M.	7. Jandric C.
43. Meireles G.	23. Smallwood J.
75. Dove-McFalls S.	86. Pietta D.
37. Spezia T.	91. Sheen R.
Line 4
22. Bakos T.	95. Preto P.
48. Ustorf J.	16. Krauss J.
73. Kechter R.	8. Krauss P.
44. Eham J.	44. Schindler N.
Substitutes
31. Treutle N. (G)	1. Pertuch N. (G)
Coaches
. O'Keefe M.	. French M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:25, 0 - 1, Keating A. (G), Agostino K. (A),
17:50, Preto P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:12, 0 - 2, Abbandonato P. (G), Ruopp S. (A), Huttl L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:19, Eham J. (2 min),
02:19, Ruopp S. (2 min),
02:19, 1 - 2, Ustorf J. (G), Headrick O. (A), Bakos T. (A2)
17:18, 1 - 3, Abbandonato P. (G), Barber R. (A),
19:54, 1 - 4, Girduckis A. (G), Agostino K. (A), Ruopp S. (A2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nurnberg Ice Tigers won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ingolstadt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nurnberg Ice Tigers won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:77. (average 2.9:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nurnberg Ice Tigers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 2.5:3.4).

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

ERC Ingolstadt: 10.45% Nurnberg Ice Tigers: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Nurnberg Ice Tigers	8	5	0	1	2	27:19	16
11	ERC Ingolstadt	7	2	1	0	4	19:25	8

Last Results with these Odds

Nurnberg Ice Tigers - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nurnberg Ice Tigers
German Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	3:1 ✺
06.01.26	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Kölner Haie	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	4:2 ✺
02.01.26	Iserlohn Roosters - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	4:3 ✺
30.12.25	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Adler Mannheim	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	4:5 ✺
06.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Frankfurt Lions	6:3 ✺
04.01.26	Straubing Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	6:3 ✺
02.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Schwenninger Wild Wings - ERC Ingolstadt	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
30.11.25	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	3:5
17.10.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	7:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	3:4
German Ice Hockey League
28.03.25	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	0:6
26.03.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	5:3
23.03.25	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 OT
21.03.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	5:6 OT

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