The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers 38%
Draw 22.1%
Utah Mammoth 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
21.1%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
21.4%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edmonton Oilers's form might have worsened.
Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Mammoth's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edmonton Oilers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utah Mammoth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Edmonton Oilers - Utah Mammoth Predictions
Users Predictions:
Edmonton Oilers will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Edmonton Oilers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
27. Levi D. (G)
70. Vejmelka K. (G)
2. Bouchard E. (A)
52. Weegar M.
14. Ekholm M.
98. Sergachyov M. (A)
29. Draisaitl L. (A)
67. Crouse L. (A)
97. McDavid C. (C)
8. Schmaltz N.
92. Podkolzin V.
9. Keller C. (C)
Line 2
5. Murphy C.
6. Marino J.
6. Shea R.
88. Schmidt N.
42. Kapanen K.
11. Guenther D.
16. Dickinson J.
16. Trocheck V.
10. Frederic T.
92. Cooley L.
Line 3
49. Emberson T.
20. Peeke A.
85. Mukhamadullin S.
26. Simashev D.
21. Joseph M.
56. Yamamoto K.
43. Michaels O.
27. Hayton B.
26. Formenton A.
72. Lee A.
Line 4
53. Howard I.
50. But D.
81. Samanski J.
82. Stenlund K.
19. Hallander F.
22. McBain J.
Substitutes
35. Jarry T. (G)
33. Cossa S. (G)
Coaches
. Babcock M.
. Tourigny A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09:23, Samanski J. (2 min),
10:38, 0 - 1, Hayton B. (G), Yamamoto K. (A), Marino J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:26, (2 min),
11:26, (2 min),
11:57, 0 - 2, Keller C. (G), Cooley L. (A), Schmaltz N. (A2)
13:54, 1 - 2, Draisaitl L. (G), McDavid C. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
14:17, 1 - 3, Cooley L. (G), Trocheck V. (A), Guenther D. (A2)
16:06, Sergachyov M. (2 min),
16:06, McBain J. (2 min),
16:06, Ekholm M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:40, 2 - 3, Mukhamadullin S. (G), Michaels O. (A), Joseph M. (A2)
19:32, 2 - 4, Keller C. (G), Schmaltz N. (A), Crouse L. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 4.
Edmonton arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Utah have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Utah may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Edmonton: Andersen F.
(Knee Injury)
Hyman Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Janmark M.
(Injury)
Nugent-Hopkins R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Regula A.
(Injury)
Savoie M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Walman J.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Utah: Carcone M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Lamoureux M.
(Shoulder Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Edmonton: Dach C.
(Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Edmonton has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 31:16 (averaging 5.2:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Edmonton against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 17:5 goals (averaging 5.7:1.7 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Edmonton Oilers: 8.52% Utah Mammoth: 4.03%
Last Results with these Odds
Utah Mammoth - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.69%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.