Match Info

NHL

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Delta Center (Salt Lake City, UT)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Utah Mammoth		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.2	3.2	Watch
	2.05	4.39	2.98
	2.01	4.41	3.05	Watch
	2.1	4.33	3
	2.02	4.43	3.08
	2	4.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.47)	4.34 ↑ (4)	3.06 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah Mammoth
47%

Draw
21.9%

Toronto Maple Leafs
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

23.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utah Mammoth's performance.

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utah Mammoth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Utah Mammoth - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Utah will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utah: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Vejmelka K. (G)	35. Hildeby D. (G)
50. Durzi S.	25. Carlo B.
98. Sergachyov M. (A)	44. Rielly M. (A)
67. Crouse L. (A)	11. Domi M.
8. Schmaltz N.	34. Matthews A. (C)
9. Keller C. (C)	23. Knies M.
Line 2
6. Marino J.	95. Ekman-Larsson O.
88. Schmidt N.	22. McCabe J.
19. But D.	88. Nylander W.
27. Hayton B.	91. Tavares J. (A)
77. Peterka J.	63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
57. Desimone N.	28. Stecher T.
28. Cole I.	2. Benoit S.
11. Guenther D.	89. Robertson N.
22. McBain J.	55. Roy N.
53. Carcone M.	53. Cowan E.
Line 4
38. O'Brien L.	74. McMann B.
82. Stenlund K.	24. Laughton S.
13. Tanev B.	18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Tourigny A.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:22, 1 - 0, Carcone M. (G), Schmidt N. (A), Marino J. (A2)
06:51, Nylander W. (2 min),
07:37, Peterka J. (2 min),
13:13, Hayton B. (2 min),
13:13, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
15:30, Benoit S. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:26, 2 - 0, Guenther D. (G), McBain J. (A), Cole I. (A2)
06:44, 3 - 0, Guenther D. (G), McBain J. (A),
09:44, McBain J. (2 min),
15:25, 4 - 0, Peterka J. (G), But D. (A), Cole I. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:30, 4 - 1, Jarnkrok C. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A),
13:29, 5 - 1, McBain J. (G), Guenther D. (A), Carcone M. (A2)
16:54, 6 - 1, But D. (G), Hayton B. (A), Peterka J. (A2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Utah have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toronto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Utah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Utah: Cooley L. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerfoot A. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 2.7:4).

Including home match between the teams, Utah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Outrights of NHL for now

Utah Mammoth: 3.47% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.45%

Last Results with these Odds

Utah Mammoth - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah Mammoth
NHL
11.01.26	Utah Mammoth - Columbus Blue Jackets	2:3 OT ✺
09.01.26	Utah Mammoth - St. Louis Blues	4:2 ✺
07.01.26	Utah Mammoth - Ottawa Senators	3:1 ✺
05.01.26	New York Rangers - Utah Mammoth	2:3 OT ✺
03.01.26	New Jersey Devils - Utah Mammoth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
12.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4 OT ✺
10.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Vancouver Canucks	5:0 ✺
08.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:2 OT ✺
06.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
05.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth	5:3
10.03.25	Utah Mammoth - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4 penalties
24.11.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth	3:2

Utah Mammoth - Toronto Maple Leafs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide