Match Info

NMHL

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ermak Angarsk		MHK Ryazan

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.98	2.83
	2.05	4.03	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	4.01 ↓ (4.4)	2.83 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
44.8%

Draw
22.8%

MHK Ryazan
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

21.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

20.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

MHK Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MHK Ryazan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Ermak Angarsk - MHK Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
08:13, 0 - 1, Nosachyov B. (G), Ryabyshev M. (A),
13:34, 0 - 2, Polezhayev V. (G), Lisov A. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:21, 1 - 2, Bogdanovich N. (G), Danilov D. (A), Vildanov K. (A2)
09:29, 2 - 2, Deshkunov A. (G), Malgin D. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
00:55, 3 - 2, Abdullin L. (G), Tungusov N. (A), Kutyrev K. (A2)
07:31, 3 - 3, Bubin K. (G), Lisov A. (A), Kolykhalov K. (A2)
15:52, 3 - 4, Ryabyshev M. (G), Anokhin P. (A),
19:59, 4 - 4, Abdullin L. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:09, 5 - 4, Starovoitov A. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Deshkunov A. (A2)

Preview

Ermak is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

MHK Ryazan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

MHK Ryazan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Ermak might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ermak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ermak Angarsk - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
08.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - MHK Ryazan	4:1 ✺
31.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Ermak Angarsk	3:8 ✺
30.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Ermak Angarsk	1:5 ✺
28.10.25	Samara - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Samara - Ermak Angarsk	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW
- MHK Ryazan
RHL
08.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - MHK Ryazan	4:1 ✺
27.10.25	Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan	4:3 penalties ✺
26.10.25	Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Samara - MHK Ryazan	3:4 ✺
22.10.25	Samara - MHK Ryazan	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
08.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - MHK Ryazan	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.09.25	MHK Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 penalties

Ermak Angarsk - MHK Ryazan