Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Kristall Saratov		MHK Ryazan

	1	X	2
	7.7	6.2	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.7 ↑ (5.04)	6.2 ↑ (5)	1.24 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristall Saratov
11.8%

Draw
14.7%

MHK Ryazan
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

18.2%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.9%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kristall Saratov's form might have worsened.

MHK Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MHK Ryazan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kristall Saratov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHK Ryazan than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MHK Ryazan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

Kristall is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristall won 1.

Kristall has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

MHK Ryazan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Kristall has had a series of away games.

In this match, MHK Ryazan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kristall won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kristall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:11. (average 3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

MHK Ryazan - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.71%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Kristall Saratov
RHL
12.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
11.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
01.04.26	Kristall Saratov - Dizelist Penza	0:1 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Dizelist Penza - Kristall Saratov	2:3 OT ✺
22.03.26	Dizelist Penza - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLLWW
- MHK Ryazan
RHL
12.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
11.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
01.04.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - MHK Ryazan	6:1 ✺
28.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - MHK Ryazan	1:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
12.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties
11.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties
08.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	5:2
07.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	2:0
27.10.25	Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan	4:3 penalties
26.10.25	Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan	0:2
16.04.25	Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan	4:3 OT

Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide