Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 6 February 2023, Monday


	Ermak Angarsk		Rostov

	1	X	2
	3.95	4.13	1.74
	3.84	4.15	1.74	Watch
	3.7	4.1	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.44)	4.13 ↓ (4.3)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
24.3%

Draw
22.5%

Rostov
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

21.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

21%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rostov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermak Angarsk - Rostov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 1.

Ermak is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rostov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of guest games.

In this match Rostov is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ermak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
04.02.23	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1 ✺
26.01.23	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
24.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	6:1 ✺
22.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLL
- HC Rostov
VHL
04.02.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rostov	7:2 ✺
01.02.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	2:1 penalties ✺
30.01.23	Omskie Krylia - Rostov	3:4 ✺
25.01.23	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
23.01.23	Rostov - AKM	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.09.22	Rostov - Ermak Angarsk	3:6
14.12.21	Rostov - Ermak Angarsk	8:3
04.11.21	Ermak Angarsk - Rostov	0:3
03.02.21	Rostov - Ermak Angarsk	5:0
21.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Rostov	2:4
30.11.19	Ermak Angarsk - Rostov	1:2 penalties

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