Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Granit Chekhov		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	2.33	4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)	4 (4)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granit Chekhov
38.7%

Draw
22.6%

Ermak Angarsk
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

23.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granit Chekhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granit Chekhov than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Granit will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Granit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:31, 0 - 1, Deshkunov A. (G), Starovoitov A. (A),
17:49, 1 - 1, Zyatkov M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
17:43, 1 - 2, Kutyrev K. (G), Aplin T. (A), Abdullin L. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
08:16, 2 - 2, Chelmakin M. (G), Onishchenko M. (A), Nazhmiyev B. (A2)
12:33, 3 - 2, Kruzhenkov G. (G), Polikarpov F. (A), Bykov D. (A2)
17:59, 4 - 2, Kalyazin S. (G), Bechruz N. (A), Onishchenko M. (A2)
18:10, 4 - 3, Aplin T. (G),
18:24, 4 - 4, Danilov D. (G), Zaitsev Y. (A), Bogdanovich N. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:23, 5 - 4, Onishchenko M. (G), Kuzminykh K. (A),

Preview

Granit (NMHL) leads series 2-1. Third leg.

Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granit won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Granit will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Granit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 2.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Granit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Granit Chekhov - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granit Chekhov
RHL
29.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties ✺
25.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
16.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
29.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties ✺
25.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Bobrov	1:4 ✺
16.04.26	Bobrov - Ermak Angarsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
29.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 penalties
26.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties
25.04.26	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	3:4 penalties
17.12.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	2:4
16.12.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	0:1 OT
14.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	4:3 OT
13.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	5:2

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