Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Ermak Angarsk		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	4.9	4.7	1.42
	4.61	4.57	1.42
	5.4	5.25	1.43	Watch
	5.2	4.9	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.31)	4.86 ↑ (4.42)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
18%

Draw
18.7%

SKA-VMF
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

20.6%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

20.2%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Ermak Angarsk - SKA VMF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 0.

Ermak is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches SKA-Neva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SKA-Neva is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ermak won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 41-55.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
04.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:3 ✺
30.11.22	Ermak Angarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:6 ✺
28.11.22	Ermak Angarsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
24.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
16.11.22	Omskie Krylia - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
08.12.22	Omskie Krylia - SKA-VMF	2:3 ✺
06.12.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - SKA-VMF	5:2 ✺
01.12.22	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:6 ✺
29.11.22	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	4:2 ✺
27.11.22	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.11.22	SKA-VMF - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
18.01.22	Ermak Angarsk - SKA-VMF	1:5
04.10.21	SKA-VMF - Ermak Angarsk	6:3
27.12.20	Ermak Angarsk - SKA-VMF	4:5
22.10.20	SKA-VMF - Ermak Angarsk	4:2
10.12.19	SKA-VMF - Ermak Angarsk	3:5
20.02.19	SKA-VMF - Ermak Angarsk	0:1

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