Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	SKA-VMF		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.69	2.4
	2.58	3.8	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.15)	3.75 ↓ (3.78)	2.36 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
36.3%

Draw
24.6%

Zvezda Moscow
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.3%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-VMF's form might have worsened.

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

SKA VMF - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Moysevich P. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
48. Salnikov E.	3. Sidorov M. (A)
14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)	48. Barantsev D.
97. Nugmanov A.	87. Yapparov Y.
17. Kabush M. (A)	98. Pankratov S. (A)
91. Lutfullin I.	77. Solovyov Y.
Line 2
63. Anisimov S.	76. Shuravin M.
80. Gryaznov G. (C)	6. Gordeyev M.
39. Kuzminov Y.	69. Maistrenko O.
38. Gurzanov Y.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
23. Osipov G.	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
84. Vydrenkov I.	44. Stanislavskiy D.
12. Remezovsky I.	8. Bobryashov N.
85. Kapchuk S.	56. Vlasenko D.
37. Ilyichyov M.	25. Lazutin D.
89. Surayev N.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 4
54. Gorokhov S.	80. Barabosha A.
96. Kabat M.	70. Yanchenko I.
82. Mamaladze D.	75. Averochkin M.
83. Shamshurin S.	62. Shalyshkin N.
Substitutes
74. Podlyagin N. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)
30. Zavragin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:15, 0 - 1, Averochkin M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
14:54, 1 - 1, Nugmanov A. (G),
19:55, 1 - 2, Maistrenko O. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
13:35, 2 - 2, Kuzminov Y. (G), Gurzanov Y. (A),
18:45, 3 - 2, Vydrenkov I. (G), Surayev N. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 3.5:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.71%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.97%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
18.02.26	SKA-VMF - Khimik	0:3 ✺
16.02.26	SKA-VMF - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
11.02.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
09.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - SKA-VMF	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
15.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT ✺
09.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Tambov - Zvezda Moscow	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:0
23.01.25	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 penalties
01.11.24	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.24	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	3:7
VHL
18.02.24	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	2:6
03.09.23	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	5:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.23	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 OT

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