Match Info

NMHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Ermak Angarsk		Sokol Novocheboksarsk

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.9	4.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.9 (4.9)	4.89 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
62.8%

Draw
18.6%

Sokol Novocheboksarsk
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

18.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

19.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sokol Novocheboksarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Novocheboksarsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Novocheboksarsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
06:18, 1 - 0, Abdullin L. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Starovoitov A. (A2)
07:40, 2 - 0, Matveyev I. (G), Kutyrev K. (A),
14:30, 2 - 1, Dudkin D. (G), Nikulayev D. (A), Nuyakshev I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:21, 3 - 1, Busygin M. (G), Abdullin L. (A),
07:49, 4 - 1, Bogdanovich N. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Vildanov K. (A2)

Preview

Ermak is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Novocheboksarsk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ermak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ermak has had a series of away games.

Recently, Novocheboksarsk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ermak is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 3.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ermak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
21.01.26	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	6:1 ✺
15.01.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Ermak Angarsk	1:5 ✺
11.01.26	Bobrov - Ermak Angarsk	4:6 ✺
10.01.26	Bobrov - Ermak Angarsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Sokol Novocheboksarsk
RHL
21.01.26	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	6:1 ✺
16.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Lipetsk	3:2 OT ✺
15.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Lipetsk	3:2 OT ✺
11.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Tambov	1:2 OT ✺
10.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Tambov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
21.01.26	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	6:1
11.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk	1:2
10.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:2

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