The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SønderjyskE 41.7%
Draw 22.5%
Aalborg Pirates 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
22.6%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
24.3%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SønderjyskE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Aalborg Pirates have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
SønderjyskE - Aalborg Pirates Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Lillie T. (G)
31. Bech F. (G)
48. Nielsen G.
24. Carstensen N.
42. Drugge O.
43. Coyle M.
44. Schioldan A.
91. Engstrand E.
11. Krag-Christensen N.
61. Jakobsen J.
28. Kopperud M.
71. Salinitri A.
Line 2
49. Schmidt Nielsen V.
29. Brondberg J.
7. Lyo R.
3. Farmer T.
77. Jensen M.
19. Kallionkieli M.
41. Werbik N.
27. Ehlers S.
26. Miceli A.
18. Walker K.
Line 3
86. Nielsen O.
32. Knudsen L.
60. Marva J.
14. Martin B.
3. Klove Mogensen M.
88. Rasmussen T.
25. Kroger O.
2. Brinkman S.
17. Borring J.
97. Christensen O.
Line 4
22. Olsen E.
4. Nielsen N.
4. Thunbo C.
25. Norgaard G.
10. Grossmann A.
28. Petersen O.
16. Truelsen P.
21. Jensen L.
Substitutes
33. Pettersson M. (G)
39. Sorensen G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:50, 0 - 1, Kallionkieli M. (G), Carstensen N. (A), Walker K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:53, 1 - 1, Kopperud M. (G), Lyo R. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Metal Ligaen (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Metal Ligaen (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Aalborg Pirates is Qualified for Metal Ligaen (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
SønderjyskE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:62. (average 2.6:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, SønderjyskE won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Sonderjyske Ishockey
10
4
0
0
6
23:34
12
6
Aalborg
9
2
3
0
4
24:24
12
Last Results with these Odds
SønderjyskE - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.64%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.