Match Info

SHL

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Löfbergs Arena (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2, Viaplay


	Färjestad		Brynäs

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.3	2.75
	2.24	4.13	2.74	Watch
	2.28	3.87	2.73	Watch
	2.15	3.8	2.7
	2.24	4.05	2.7	Watch
	2.3	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 (2.24)	4.03 ↑ (3.87)	2.71 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Färjestad
41.9%

Draw
23.4%

Brynäs
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (-4%)

Färjestad - Brynäs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Larmi E. (G)	31. Kallgren E. (G)
6. Wikman A.	28. Kinnvall J.
32. Nygren M. (A)	15. Bertilsson S.
11. Nygard J. (A)	33. Silfverberg J. (A)
96. Tomasek D.	38. Hillstrom G.
71. Lodin V.	81. Bellows K.
Line 2
65. Fransen N.	29. Andersson A.
73. Mattsson A.	14. Hagg R.
98. Studenic M.	18. Rodin A. (A)
13. Kellman J.	19. Backstrom N.
29. Steen O.	23. Lindblom O.
Line 3
7. Bergkvist A.	53. Witkowski L.
48. Roos F.	5. Kempny M.
92. Forsell L.	8. Trivigno B.
67. Zohorna R.	36. Olund L. (C)
39. Philp L.	71. Jonsson Fjallby A.
Line 4
24. Wahlund J.	27. Norlinder M.
28. Alba E.	41. Scott G.
59. Johansson L. (C)	20. Vesel T.
15. Berglund J.	52. Kopacka J.
Substitutes
12. Jansson C.	45. Clara D. (G)
35. Thelin M. (G)	22. Sundqvist L.
Coaches
. Abbott C.	. Gallstedt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:25, Trivigno B. (2 min),
12:49, 1 - 0, Berglund J. (G), Mattsson A. (A), Philp L. (A2)
2nd Period (5 - 0)
01:10, 2 - 0, Wikman A. (G), Lodin V. (A),
06:20, 3 - 0, Tomasek D. (G), Nygard J. (A), Lodin V. (A2)
06:37, 4 - 0, Roos F. (G), Steen O. (A), Studenic M. (A2)
06:37, Kallgren E. ↓, Clara D. ↑,
09:36, Witkowski L. (2 min),
15:52, Kempny M. (2 min),
16:07, 5 - 0, Steen O. (G), Lodin V. (A), Zohorna R. (A2)
18:52, 6 - 0, Studenic M. (G), Steen O. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:35, Bellows K. (2 min),
01:03, 7 - 0, Nygren M. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Zohorna R. (A2)
03:27, Mattsson A. (2 min),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 2.

Färjestad has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brynäs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Färjestad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 60:42. (average 3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Färjestad won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 2.3:2.3).

Outrights of SHL for now

Farjestad: 13.74% Brynas: 10.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	8	7	0	1	0	34:8	22
5	Brynas	8	4	0	0	4	23:18	12

Last Results with these Odds

Färjestad - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.68%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farjestads BK
SHL
15.01.26	HV71 - Färjestad	5:3 ✺
10.01.26	Färjestad - Djurgården	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Växjö Lakers - Färjestad	4:3 OT ✺
06.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Färjestad - Skellefteå	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Brynäs IF
SHL
15.01.26	Leksand - Brynäs	4:5 OT ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.01.26	Brynäs - Frölunda	0:2 ✺
SHL
10.01.26	Brynäs - Linköping	4:3 penalties ✺
08.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Brynäs	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Brynäs - Växjö Lakers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
25.10.25	Brynäs - Färjestad	1:3
04.10.25	Färjestad - Brynäs	1:2
11.03.25	Brynäs - Färjestad	1:4
25.01.25	Färjestad - Brynäs	1:3
19.12.24	Brynäs - Färjestad	2:1 penalties
01.10.24	Färjestad - Brynäs	2:1 penalties
02.02.23	Färjestad - Brynäs	3:2

Färjestad - Brynäs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide