Match Info

SWEDEN: SHL

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday

Location: Löfbergs Arena (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Färjestad		Modo

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.5	6.5
	1.48	5	5.25
	1.44	5.15	5.95	Watch
	1.44	5.17	5.74	Watch
	1.4	4.8	5.5
	1.45	5.3	5.43	Watch
	1.44	5.15	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	5.15 ↑ (5.08)	5.76 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Färjestad
65.4%

Draw
18.3%

Modo
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

18.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

18.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Modo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Färjestad - Modo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Lagace M. (G)	31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
32. Nygren M. (A)	6. LaDue P.
73. Mattsson A.	27. Norlinder M.
34. Lindqvist M. (A)	13. Benson T.
96. Tomasek D.	86. Jasek L.
71. Lodin V.	17. Woods R.
Line 2
26. Nystrom J.	7. Nasen P.
75. Groleau J.	23. Winberg T.
29. Steen O.	29. Aagaard M. (A)
13. Kellman J.	11. True A.
98. Studenic M.	10. Ranta S.
Line 3
52. Tornberg A.	2. Rundblad D. (C)
72. Solberg S.	40. Bernhardt D.
92. Forsell L.	92. Olofsson J.
20. Westfalt M.	32. Niederbach T.
16. Ljungkrantz A.	38. Sodergran J.
Line 4
44. Andersson J.	15. Berglund V.
14. Bjorklund H.	12. Pettersson O.
59. Johansson L. (C)	24. Carlsson M.
28. Alba E.	36. Ohlsson S. (A)
Substitutes
50. Clara D. (G)	30. Lehtinen L. (G)
36. Johansson W.	19. Pettersson L.
Coaches
. Mitell T.	. Karlin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:23, 1 - 0, Steen O. (G), Solberg S. (A), Studenic M. (A2)
08:26, 2 - 0, Westfalt M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 4)
02:46, 2 - 1, LaDue P. (G), Norlinder M. (A), True A. (A2)
08:48, 2 - 2, Ranta S. (G),
12:44, 2 - 3, True A. (G), LaDue P. (A), Berglund V. (A2)
15:04, Niederbach T. (2 min),
17:29, 2 - 4, Rundblad D. (G), Niederbach T. (A), Sodergran J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:03, Jasek L. (2 min),
11:17, 3 - 4, Solberg S. (G), Steen O. (A),
15:48, 4 - 4, Mattsson A. (G), Tomasek D. (A),
17:44, Mattsson A. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:51, 5 - 4, Studenic M. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Solberg S. (A2)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone SHL (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Färjestad won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Modo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Färjestad is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Färjestad won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 72:48 (average 3.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Färjestad won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36:27 (average 3.6:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farjestads BK
SHL
28.12.24	Luleå - Färjestad	3:2 penalties ✺
26.12.24	Färjestad - Rögle	6:2 ✺
19.12.24	Brynäs - Färjestad	2:1 penalties ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
17.12.24	Färjestad - Red Bull Salzburg	6:0 ✺
SHL
07.12.24	Färjestad - Skellefteå	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Modo Hockey
SHL
28.12.24	Modo - Malmö Redhawks	4:2 ✺
26.12.24	Brynäs - Modo	5:2 ✺
19.12.24	Luleå - Modo	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Modo - Brynäs	2:1 ✺
05.12.24	Skellefteå - Modo	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
14.11.24	Modo - Färjestad	4:5 OT
26.10.24	Färjestad - Modo	2:1
03.02.24	Modo - Färjestad	0:6
19.12.23	Färjestad - Modo	7:3
09.12.23	Färjestad - Modo	5:1
26.10.23	Modo - Färjestad	4:3 OT
18.02.16	Modo - Färjestad	4:5 OT

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