Match Info

SHL

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Luleå		Färjestad

	1	X	2
	2.45	4	2.6	Watch
	2.25	4.3	2.7
	2.42	4.1	2.61
	2.36	4.13	2.52	Watch
	2.3	3.8	2.45
	2.35	4	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	4.06 ↓ (4.09)	2.57 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
40.1%

Draw
23.3%

Färjestad
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

24.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Färjestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Luleå - Färjestad Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Färjestad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luleå (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ward M. (G)	35. Thelin M. (G)
3. Allard F.	32. Nygren M. (A)
29. Gustafsson E. (C)	73. Mattsson A.
25. Eriksson F.	22. Aslund P.
91. O'Neill B. (A)	96. Tomasek D.
6. Hedqvist I.	98. Studenic M.
Line 2
27. Laaksonen O.	74. Leivermann N.
82. Leskinen O.	27. Carlsson G.
51. Nurmi M.	28. Alba E.
96. Andreasson P.	13. Kellman J.
76. Levtchi A.	11. Nygard J. (A)
Line 3
39. Sjalin P.	48. Roos F.
23. Sellgren J. (A)	7. Bergkvist A.
67. Omark L.	39. Philp L.
13. Koivistoinen E.	67. Zohorna R.
86. Brome M.	71. Lodin V.
Line 4
32. Engsund O.	6. Wikman A.
24. Shinnimin B.	29. Steen O.
9. Liedes H.	59. Johansson L. (C)
72. Tardif B.	15. Berglund J.
Substitutes
15. Granberg D.	12. Jansson C.
34. Lassinantti J. (G)	33. Larmi E. (G)
Coaches
. Berglund T.	. Abbott C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:31, Liedes H. (2 min),
12:47, 0 - 1, Berglund J. (G), Steen O. (A), Bergkvist A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:51, Lodin V. (2 min),
19:26, 1 - 1, Eriksson F. (G), Gustafsson E. (A), Laaksonen O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:43, 1 - 2, Bergkvist A. (G), Roos F. (A), Lodin V. (A2)
19:05, 1 - 3, Berglund J. (G), Carlsson G. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3.

Luleå is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Färjestad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Luleå has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Färjestad will win today's game, with odds of 2.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:55. (average 3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 3:2.6).

Outrights of SHL for now

Farjestad: 13.74% Lulea: 9.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	8	7	0	1	0	34:8	22
9	Lulea	8	3	0	1	4	20:26	10

Last Results with these Odds

Luleå - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Färjestad - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
12.03.26	Luleå - Rögle	2:5 ✺
10.03.26	Linköping - Luleå	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Djurgården - Luleå	4:1 ✺
05.03.26	Leksand - Luleå	3:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Farjestads BK
SHL
12.03.26	Färjestad - Timrå	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Färjestad - HV71	7:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rögle - Färjestad	2:6 ✺
05.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	2:1 OT ✺
28.02.26	Färjestad - Växjö Lakers	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
22.01.26	Färjestad - Luleå	3:2 penalties
06.12.25	Luleå - Färjestad	2:5
16.10.25	Färjestad - Luleå	3:6
04.03.25	Färjestad - Luleå	1:4
28.12.24	Luleå - Färjestad	3:2 penalties
31.10.24	Färjestad - Luleå	3:4 OT
28.09.24	Luleå - Färjestad	4:6

Luleå - Färjestad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide