The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Füchse Duisburg 42.8%
Draw 17.2%
Erfurt 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
14.6%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
15.8%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Füchse Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Erfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Füchse Duisburg than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Füchse Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erfurt than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Füchse Duisburg won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Füchse Duisburg (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Erfurt has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Füchse Duisburg has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:35 (averaging 4.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Füchse Duisburg against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 28:15 goals (averaging 4.7:2.5 per game).