Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday


	Fassa		Tigers Bregenzerwald

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.33	2
	2.6	4.25	2.02
	2.71	4.74	2.1
	2.5	4.5	2.1
	2.64	4.33	2.06
	2.65	4.3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.69)	4.41 ↑ (4.34)	2.05 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fassa
34.8%

Draw
20.7%

Tigers Bregenzerwald
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

21.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

20.4%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Tigers Bregenzerwald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigers Bregenzerwald than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Fassa - Tigers Bregenzerwald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fassa won 2.

Recent matches Fassa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EHC Bregenzerwald in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

EHC Bregenzerwald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Fassa won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 65-64.

Including matches at home between the teams Fassa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
19.12.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Fassa	8:3 ✺
09.12.23	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	4:2 ✺
07.12.23	KAC II - Fassa	0:9 ✺
02.12.23	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	4:1 ✺
30.11.23	Fassa - Vipiteno	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- HC Tigers Bregenzerwald
Alps Hockey League
19.12.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - EHC Lustenau	5:1 ✺
09.12.23	Unterland Cavaliers - Tigers Bregenzerwald	3:5 ✺
06.12.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Vipiteno	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	2:4 ✺
29.11.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Zell am See	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
01.10.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Fassa	5:1
16.11.22	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Fassa	4:3 penalties
21.09.22	Fassa - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:5 OT
29.12.21	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Fassa	1:3
23.09.21	Fassa - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:0
06.03.21	Fassa - Tigers Bregenzerwald	1:3
10.02.21	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Fassa	4:2

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