Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Unterland Cavaliers		Fassa

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	3.7	Watch
	1.62	4.5	3.47
	1.65	4.61	4.33
	1.6	4.2	4
	1.64	4.65	3.83
	1.61	4.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	4.53 ↑ (4.41)	3.85 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterland Cavaliers
56.2%

Draw
20.1%

Fassa
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

20.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

20%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unterland Cavaliers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Unterland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Unterland is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unterland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Unterland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unterland Cavaliers
Alps Hockey League
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
18.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Hockey
13.01.24	Ritten-Renon - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 OT ✺
11.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Ritten-Renon	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLW
- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
05.01.24	Fassa - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:7 ✺
03.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Fassa	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
02.12.23	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	4:1
04.11.23	Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 OT
22.12.22	Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers	6:3
26.10.22	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	3:2 penalties

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