Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 18 January 2024, Thursday


	KAC II		Fassa

	1	X	2
	3.4	4	1.78
	3.2	4	1.8
	3.41	4.21	1.91
	3	4	1.91
	3.16	4.45	1.83
	3.3	4.3	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.68)	4.16 ↓ (4.58)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAC II
28.2%

Draw
22%

Fassa
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

20.2%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

20%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

KAC II - Fassa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KAC II won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fassa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches KAC II won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 38-69.

Including matches at home between the teams KAC II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
05.01.24	Ritten-Renon - KAC II	3:2 ✺
03.01.24	KAC II - Cortina	3:2 penalties ✺
30.12.23	Gherdëina - KAC II	3:1 ✺
28.12.23	Celje - KAC II	5:4 OT ✺
26.12.23	KAC II - Unterland Cavaliers	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 LWLLW
- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
05.01.24	Fassa - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:7 ✺
03.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Fassa	3:5 ✺
30.12.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:0 ✺
28.12.23	Fassa - Zell am See	3:5 ✺
26.12.23	Fassa - Celje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
07.12.23	KAC II - Fassa	0:9
28.09.23	Fassa - KAC II	6:2
24.11.22	KAC II - Fassa	4:1
29.09.22	Fassa - KAC II	3:1
05.12.21	KAC II - Fassa	0:3
26.10.21	Fassa - KAC II	4:3
04.03.21	KAC II - Fassa	3:5

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