Match Info

HUNGARY: Erste Liga

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Tuskecsarnok (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Ferencvárosi		Újpest

	1	X	2
	1.82	4	3.3
	1.83	4.05	3.25
	1.77	4.4	3.48
	1.8	4	3.3
	1.81	4.2	3.35
	1.82	4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	4.11 ↑ (4.08)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
50.4%

Draw
22.2%

Újpest
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

21.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Újpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Újpest than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ferencvárosi - Újpest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Arany G. (G)	39. Rajna M. (G)
27. Seregely M.	44. Sol C. (A)
55. Helgesen T.	37. Desrocher S.
71. Keranen M.	93. Laskawy F.
9. Brady A. (C)	29. McNulty I.
88. Turbucz M. (A)	81. Kiss P.
Line 2
23. Karmeniemi L.	17. Kiss D. (A)
44. Tyni P.	11. Tornyai G.
69. Nemeth A.	26. Stevenson D. (C)
74. Kocsis B.	16. Paterka B.
66. Toth G. (A)	21. Dansereau K.
Line 3
6. Haranghy B.	2. Franyo K.
10. Crespi J.	97. Pokornyi D.
11. Banga N.	8. Kovacs A.
18. Mattyasovszky G.	24. Szabo Racz M.
92. Razumnyak V.	9. Szalma Z.
Line 4
8. Karpati K.	40. Rosa L.
24. Martonffy M.	96. Simon P.
87. Bogati B.	12. Nadasy M.
26. Ban K.	22. Kovacs S.
94. Galajda Z.
Substitutes
30. Nagy K. (G)	1. Erdei K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:19, 0 - 1, Dansereau K. (G), Sol C. (A), Stevenson D. (A2)
08:40, 1 - 1, Razumnyak V. (G), Mattyasovszky G. (A), Crespi J. (A2)
17:54, 2 - 1, Keranen M. (G), Turbucz M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:47, 2 - 2, Dansereau K. (G), Paterka B. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
06:47, 3 - 2, Razumnyak V. (G), Brady A. (A), Turbucz M. (A2)
10:16, 4 - 2, Turbucz M. (G),
17:03, 4 - 3, Kovacs A. (G), Kiss P. (A), Laskawy F. (A2)
17:46, 5 - 3, Keranen M. (G), Turbucz M. (A),
18:25, 5 - 4, Stevenson D. (G), Sol C. (A), Dansereau K. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 2.

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Újpest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Újpest have a series of guest games.

Ferencvárosi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ferencvárosi to win the game is with odds 1.82.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 56:50 (average 2.8:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferencvárosi won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:22 (average 2.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC Hockey
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
15.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Feha19	3:2 OT ✺
03.11.24	Ferencvárosi - Gyergyói	2:3 ✺
01.11.24	DVTK Jegesmedvék - Ferencvárosi	4:3 OT ✺
27.10.24	Budapest Jégkorong Akadémia - Ferencvárosi	2:3 ✺
25.10.24	Ferencvárosi - DEAC Debrecen	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW
- Újpesti TE
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
15.11.24	DEAC Debrecen - Újpest	4:7 ✺
03.11.24	Feha19 - Újpest	2:1 penalties ✺
01.11.24	Újpest - Gyergyói	2:7 ✺
27.10.24	Gyergyói - Újpest	8:0 ✺
25.10.24	Corona Brașov - Újpest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
06.10.24	Újpest - Ferencvárosi	3:2
22.09.24	Ferencvárosi - Újpest	1:3
03.02.24	Újpest - Ferencvárosi	4:1
21.01.24	Ferencvárosi - Újpest	4:3 OT
Hungarian Cup Hockey
17.01.24	Újpest - Ferencvárosi	3:7
19.12.23	Ferencvárosi - Újpest	5:4
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
01.12.23	Ferencvárosi - Újpest	2:1

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