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Current Win Probability
Ferencvárosi 21%
Draw 18.9%
EC KAC 60.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.5%
18.7%
61.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
18.6%
61.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Ferencvárosi - EC KAC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Nagy K. (G)
30. Mitens M. (G)
23. Hadobas Z.
82. Nickl T.
13. Bengtsson R. (C)
92. Unterweger C. (A)
93. Laskawy F.
94. Drozg J.
62. Silye D.
74. St. Denis T.
8. Savoie C.
8. Petersen N.
Line 2
7. Lindgren J.
28. Goransson M.
44. Tyni P.
41. Jensen J. (A)
92. Tammela J.
16. Schwinger S.
11. Ronni T.
27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
41. Dobos M. B.
89. Herburger R.
Line 3
55. Ortenszky T.
39. Simovic F.
22. Horvath M. (A)
3. MacKinnon W.
61. Heljanko R.
81. van Ee F.
25. Kestila A. (A)
98. Obersteiner D.
17. Mihalik A.
6. Sablattnig T.
Line 4
29. Farkas O.
29. Hudson J.
97. Schlekmann M.
19. Waschnig D.
77. Toth G.
45. Ofner B.
94. Galajda Z.
Substitutes
1. Balizs B. (G)
33. Vorauer F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
03:05, 1 - 0, Heljanko R. (G), Mihalik A. (A), Lindgren J. (A2)
12:36, 1 - 1, Waschnig D. (G), Ofner B. (A), Simovic F. (A2)
15:30, 1 - 2, Petersen N. (G), Drozg J. (A), Jensen J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:17, 2 - 2, Savoie C. (G), Bengtsson R. (A), Silye D. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:28, 3 - 2, Savoie C. (G), Laskawy F. (A), Lindgren J. (A2)
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In recent outings, Ferencvárosi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
EC KAC has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
EC KAC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, EC KAC is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ferencvárosi in today's match, at odds of 4.65.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ferencvárosi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:19 (averaging 1.5:4.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferencvárosi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:11 goals (averaging 1:5.5 per game).