The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EC KAC 56.8%
Draw 20.3%
Vienna Capitals 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.7%
19.2%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
19.9%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC KAC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vienna Capitals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
EC KAC - Vienna Capitals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Vorauer F. (G)
39. Reideborn A. (G)
82. Nickl T.
7. Bailen N.
92. Unterweger C. (A)
22. Schnetzer R.
94. Drozg J.
25. Gregoire J. (A)
74. St. Denis T.
19. Vey L. (C)
8. Petersen N.
15. Lilja J.
Line 2
28. Goransson M.
92. Lindner L.
41. Jensen J. (A)
24. Bourque S.
16. Schwinger S.
42. Lanzinger B.
27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
67. Komarek K. (A)
89. Herburger R.
10. Gersich S.
Line 3
39. Simovic F.
8. Nogier N.
3. MacKinnon W.
5. Hackl D.
6. Sablattnig T.
82. Peeters S.
98. Obersteiner D.
9. Wallner L.
81. van Ee F.
34. Koschek F.
Line 4
21. Micelli N.
13. Steffler D.
51. Bohs G.
81. Richter M.
29. Hudson J.
37. Kromp C.
19. Waschnig D.
76. Antonitsch S.
45. Ofner B.
Substitutes
30. Mitens M. (G)
31. Setzinger L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:10, 0 - 1, Peeters S. (G), Wallner L. (A), Koschek F. (A2)
15:04, 1 - 1, St. Denis T. (G), Nickl T. (A), Jensen J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:03, 1 - 2, Gersich S. (G), Bourque S. (A), Richter M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:43, 1 - 3, Gersich S. (G), Komarek K. (A), Nogier N. (A2)
05:17, 2 - 3, Hundertpfund T. (G), St. Denis T. (A), Herburger R. (A2)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC KAC won 4.
EC KAC is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Vienna Capitals have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
EC KAC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to EC KAC for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EC KAC has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:46 (averaging 3.9:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EC KAC against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 45:26 goals (averaging 4.1:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Klagenfurt
15
8
1
1
5
57:46
27
9
Vienna Capitals
14
5
2
1
6
38:39
20
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Klagenfurt: 17.56% Vienna Capitals: 4.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Vienna Capitals - the odds 4.61 are the expected chance of winning is 20.13%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.