The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven 28.7%
Draw 21.5%
Adler Mannheim 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
23.9%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
25.8%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Adler Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adler Mannheim's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adler Mannheim than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adler Mannheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Adler Mannheim will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
27. Hungerecker L. (G)
56. Franzreb M. (G)
22. Eminger V.
52. Mattinen N.
17. Bystrom L.
4. Renouf D.
91. Verlic M.
22. Plachta M.
13. Jeglic Z.
19. Esposito L.
9. Urbas J.
86. Heim M.
Line 2
15. Bettahar R.
9. Gawanke L.
42. Abt M.
49. Kaelble L.
19. Smith C.
28. Ehl A.
51. Miele A.
65. Michaelis M.
21. Krammer N.
74. Schutz J.
Line 3
72. Bruggisser P.
7. Gilmour J.
2. Hirose A.
14. Worge Kreu W.
79. Conrad C.
91. O'Donnell B.
65. Wejse C.
73. Solow Z.
8. Kinder N.
21. Bennett K.
Line 4
53. Rausch M.
27. Proske Y.
25. Herrmann F.
11. Reichel K.
57. Friesen A.
34. Kuhnhackl T.
48. Jensen Nich.
Substitutes
30. Gudlevskis K. (G)
33. Mattsson J. (G)
Coaches
. Sulzer A.
. Eakins D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
05:26, Plachta M. (2 min),
07:38, Conrad C. (2 min),
16:18, 1 - 0, Smith C. (G), Krammer N. (A), Miele A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:55, 1 - 1, Schutz J. (G), Gawanke L. (A), Ehl A. (A2)
08:34, 2 - 1, Hirose A. (G), Bruggisser P. (A),
11:05, 3 - 1, Abt M. (G), Kinder N. (A), Wejse C. (A2)
12:34, Renouf D. (10 min),
13:44, 4 - 1, Conrad C. (G), Smith C. (A), Jensen Nich. (A2)
15:05, Mattinen N. (2 min),
18:40, Smith C. (2 min),
20:00, Plachta M. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:21, 5 - 1, Krammer N. (G), Abt M. (A), Miele A. (A2)
03:37, 6 - 1, Bruggisser P. (G), Verlic M. (A),
06:39, Smith C. (2 min),
11:28, Miele A. (10 min),
14:08, Esposito L. (2 min),
14:08, Esposito L. (10 min),
14:08, Wejse C. (2 min),
14:08, Gawanke L. (2 min),
18:28, Bruggisser P. (2 min),
18:29, Solow Z. (2 min),
18:29, Renouf D. (2 min),
19:47, Worge Kreu W. (2 min),
20:00, Plachta M. (2 min),
20:00, Eminger V. (2 min),
Preview
Adler Mannheim leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bremerhaven won 0.
Bremerhaven has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mannheim is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Mannheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Mannheim could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bremerhaven won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 45:57. (average 2.3:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bremerhaven won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 3.1:2.9).
Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now
Adler Mannheim: 18.18%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Adler Mannheim
8
4
0
2
2
28:23
14
10
Bremerhaven
7
3
0
0
4
13:17
9
Last Results with these Odds
Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.63%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Adler Mannheim - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.