Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday


	Forssan Palloseura		Zemgale LLU

	1	X	2
	2	4.3	2.8
	1.9	3.7	3.2
	2	3.7	3.25
	1.97	3.9	3.05
	1.93	3.66	3.11
	1.91	3.5	3
	1.98	4.2	2.96
	2.04	3.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.64)	3.85 ↓ (4.08)	3.03 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forssan Palloseura
46.3%

Draw
23.6%

Zemgale LLU
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

18.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forssan Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forssan Palloseura's form might have worsened.

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zemgale LLU's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forssan Palloseura than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Forssan Palloseura - Zemgale LLU Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

FPS has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zemgale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

FPS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zemgale have a series of guest games.

FPS will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches FPS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams FPS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forssan Palloseura
Finnish Mestis
11.10.22	Forssan Palloseura - Zemgale LLU	2:3 penalties ✺
08.10.22	Hermes Kokkola - Forssan Palloseura	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	RoKi - Forssan Palloseura	5:2 ✺
30.09.22	Kiekko-Espoo - Forssan Palloseura	5:0 ✺
28.09.22	Forssan Palloseura - Kiekko-Vantaa	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HK Zemgale LLU
Finnish Mestis
11.10.22	Forssan Palloseura - Zemgale LLU	2:3 penalties ✺
08.10.22	Peliitat Heinola - Zemgale LLU	4:2 ✺
07.10.22	Peliitat Heinola - Zemgale LLU	3:1 ✺
05.10.22	Koovee - Zemgale LLU	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Koovee - Zemgale LLU	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
11.10.22	Forssan Palloseura - Zemgale LLU	2:3 penalties

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