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Current Win Probability
Frýdek-Místek 37.2%
Draw 22.8%
Kolín 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
21.7%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frýdek-Místek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frýdek-Místek's form might have worsened.
Kolín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolín's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frýdek-Místek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolín than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Frýdek Místek - Kolín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
77. Dolejs D. (G)
46. Soukup J. (G)
38. Rocak M.
77. Cernohorsky J.
13. Hrbas M. (A)
59. Kolmann P. (C)
29. Matiasko M.
49. Zavora J.
44. Ostrizek D.
10. Hasek P.
76. Kofron D.
71. Chalupa M.
Line 2
63. Zielinski A.
6. Krepelka K.
24. Prcik M.
29. Piegl R.
14. Izacky J.
82. Simek P.
94. Strondala V.
83. Moravec P.
23. Lednicky V.
57. Svoboda P.
Line 3
72. Prusek P.
3. Moravec T.
8. Volas P.
16. Hampl J.
17. Indrst F.
84. Zvagulis K.
26. Machacek S.
24. Malinek V.
21. Haas O.
91. Ourada K.
Line 4
9. Sedlacek M.
20. Vlasak A.
92. Svancara R.
22. Adamec A.
28. Lazovsky M.
13. Pajer L.
81. Vojacek M.
11. Dlouhy A.
Substitutes
31. Forst D. (G)
2. Kasal J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
00:46, 1 - 0, Ostrizek D. (G), Matiasko M. (A),
05:09, 2 - 0, Zielinski A. (G), Strondala V. (A),
06:19, 3 - 0, Machacek S. (G), Haas O. (A), Izacky J. (A2)
09:11, 3 - 1, Dlouhy A. (G), Krepelka K. (A),
11:41, 3 - 2, Moravec P. (G), Kolmann P. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
06:57, 3 - 3, Svoboda P. (G),
08:46, 3 - 4, Hasek P. (G), Moravec T. (A),
12:06, 3 - 5, Pajer L. (G), Dlouhy A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Kolín has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Frýdek-Místek holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Frýdek-Místek has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:41 (averaging 2.6:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Frýdek-Místek against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 27:13 goals (averaging 3:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Kolin
12
4
4
1
3
33:30
21
8
Frydek-Mistek
12
4
2
1
5
36:37
17
Last Results with these Odds
Kolín - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.59%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Dolejs D. (G) 
Zvagulis K. 
Lazovsky M. 
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