Match Info

World Championship

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Avicii Arena (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	TSN 2, TSN+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+
Latvia	LTV 7
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay


	France		Latvia

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.4	1.74	Watch
	3.9	4.2	1.75
	3.85	4.45	1.78
	3.79	4.41	1.76
	4.07	4.41	1.72	Watch
	3.7	4.2	1.67
	4.03	4.3	1.78	Watch
	3.85	4.45	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.26)	4.35 ↓ (4.65)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
24.4%

Draw
21.7%

Latvia
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

20.3%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

19.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

France - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: Latvia will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Latvia will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Papillon Q. (G) Bordeaux	50. Gudlevskis K. (G) Pinguins Bremerhaven
6. Llorca V. Angers	94. Rubins K. (A) Plzen
8. Gallet H. (A) Tappara	72. Jaks J. Karlovy Vary
20. Colotti F. Marseille	43. Ravinskis A. Hameenlinna
41. Bellemare P-E. (C) Ajoie	11. Locmelis D. Providence Bruins
78. Fabre D. Assat Pori	16. Daugavins K. (C)
Line 2
27. Boscq J. Iowa Heartlanders	77. Zile K. (A) Liberec
7. Crinon P. Grenoble	29. Freibergs R. Vitkovice
94. Bozon T.	34. Tralmaks E. Grand Rapids Griffins
90. Dair A. Grenoble	12. Prohorenkovs G. Niagara Purple Eagles
72. Perret J. Mountfield HK	21. Balcers R. Zurich
Line 3
5. Guebey E. Davos	6. Komuls M. Kladno
44. Spinozzi K. Bordeaux	55. Mamcics R. Karlovy Vary
3. Bertrand C. ERC Ingolstadt	17. Dzierkals M.
29. Boudon L. (A) Nybro	95. Batna O. Mountfield HK
81. Rech A. Rouen	22. Andersons T. La Chaux-de-Fonds
Line 4
86. Coulaud Y. Marseille	27. Cibulskis O. Herning Blue Fox
77. Treille S. Grenoble	36. Lavins M.
25. Ritz N. Angers	97. Egle H. Karlovy Vary
95. Bozon K. Ajoie	13. Bukarts Ri.
Substitutes
30. Keller A. (G) Lausanne	88. Grigals G. (G) Dukla Trencin
22. Leclerc G. Grenoble
Coaches
. Treille Y.	. Vitolins H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
15:02, 1 - 0, Fabre D. (G), Crinon P. (A), Boscq J. (A2)
15:26, Llorca V. (2 min),
17:10, (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:57, Bozon K. (2 min),
15:19, Freibergs R. (2 min),
15:36, 1 - 1, Dzierkals M. (G),
17:06, Treille S. (2 min),
17:06, Cibulskis O. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:02, 1 - 2, Zile K. (G), Komuls M. (A), Balcers R. (A2)
18:36, 1 - 3, Locmelis D. (G),
19:29, 1 - 4, Locmelis D. (G), Tralmaks E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 0.

Recent form of France has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Latvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

France may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Latvia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, France won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 39:52. (average 2:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France hockey
Friendly International Ice Hockey
03.05.25	Slovakia - France	8:1 ✺
02.05.25	Slovakia - France	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	France - Norway	4:1 ✺
25.04.25	France - Norway	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	France - Switzerland	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Latvia hockey
Friendly International Ice Hockey
03.05.25	Norway - Latvia	2:1 OT ✺
02.05.25	Norway - Latvia	1:2 OT ✺
25.04.25	Latvia - Switzerland	2:4 ✺
24.04.25	Latvia - Switzerland	3:2 penalties ✺
10.04.25	Latvia - Finland	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
01.09.24	Latvia - France	5:2
IIHF World Championship
12.05.24	Latvia - France	3:2 OT
Friendly International Ice Hockey
10.11.23	Latvia - France	4:1
09.11.23	Latvia - France	3:1
22.04.22	France - Latvia	2:3
21.04.22	France - Latvia	2:1
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
29.08.21	Latvia - France	2:1

France - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide