Match Info

World Championship

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Avicii Arena (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Hockey France TV
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay


	France		Slovenia

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.4	3.9	Watch
	1.78	4.25	3.7
	1.81	4.35	3.8
	1.68	4.41	4.18
	1.71	4.42	4.14	Watch
	1.7	4.33	4
	1.76	4.3	4.15	Watch
	1.81	4.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	4.35 ↓ (4.4)	3.96 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
54.2%

Draw
21.8%

Slovenia
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

21.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

19.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with France that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	14.3%	4.8%

France - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: France will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): France will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Papillon Q. (G) Bordeaux	61. Horak L. (G) HK Olimpija
8. Gallet H. (A) Tappara	17. Golicic J. Gatineau Olympiques
6. Llorca V. Angers	15. Gregorc B. (A) HK Olimpija
9. Texier A. St. Louis Blues	18. Ograjensek K. Black Wings Linz
41. Bellemare P-E. (C) Ajoie	46. Torok M. (A) Ilves Tampere
72. Perret J. Mountfield HK	55. Sabolic R. (C) HK Olimpija
Line 2
7. Crinon P. Grenoble	4. Magovac A. Amiens
27. Boscq J. Iowa Heartlanders	96. Masic B. HK Olimpija
81. Rech A. Rouen	8. Mahkovec M. HK Olimpija
29. Boudon L. (A) Nybro	12. Simsic N. HK Olimpija
70. Bruche B. Bordeaux	70. Kapel R. HK Olimpija
Line 3
44. Spinozzi K. Bordeaux	6. Stebih M. Trebic
5. Guebey E. Davos	41. Cosic J. HK Olimpija
95. Bozon K. Ajoie	21. Drozg J. Red Star Kunlun
25. Ritz N. Angers	47. Macuh R. Olomouc
94. Bozon T.	91. Jezovsek Z.
Line 4
28. Bourgeois F. Marseille	43. Podrekar U. Flint Firebirds
77. Treille S. Grenoble	23. Sodja J. HK Olimpija
20. Colotti F. Marseille	49. Sitar F.
22. Leclerc G. Grenoble	13. Langus N. Augustana Vikings
Substitutes
90. Dair A. Grenoble	10. Bericic M. HK Olimpija
30. Keller A. (G) Lausanne	69. Pintaric M. (G) Grenoble
Coaches
. Treille Y.	. Terglav E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
07:40, Bruche B. (2 min),
07:40, Bozon K. (2 min),
09:22, 0 - 1, Jezovsek Z. (G), Masic B. (A), Kapel R. (A2)
09:31, Cosic J. (2 min),
12:02, Drozg J. (Penalty Shot),
16:21, 0 - 2, Simsic N. (G), Kapel R. (A), Mahkovec M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:11, Texier A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:04, Bericic M. (2 min),
12:01, Boudon L. (2 min),
18:05, 1 - 2, Bozon T. (G), Texier A. (A),
19:45, 1 - 3, Torok M. (G),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ WCH IA).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 4.

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

France may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, France is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, France won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 47:41. (average 2.6:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France hockey
IIHF World Championship
17.05.25	France - Sweden	0:4 ✺
16.05.25	Austria - France	5:2 ✺
14.05.25	Slovakia - France	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Canada - France	5:0 ✺
11.05.25	Finland - France	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Slovenia hockey
IIHF World Championship
18.05.25	Slovenia - Austria	2:3 penalties ✺
16.05.25	Sweden - Slovenia	4:0 ✺
15.05.25	Finland - Slovenia	9:1 ✺
13.05.25	Slovenia - Latvia	2:5 ✺
11.05.25	Slovakia - Slovenia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
30.08.24	France - Slovenia	5:1
Friendly International Ice Hockey
25.04.24	France - Slovenia	0:3
24.04.24	France - Slovenia	2:1 OT
29.04.23	France - Slovenia	2:1 OT
28.04.23	France - Slovenia	4:3
30.04.22	Slovenia - France	2:0
11.11.21	Slovenia - France	2:3

France - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide