Match Info

SHL - Round 5

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Scandinavium (Göteborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Frölunda		Brynäs

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.25	2.65
	2.20	4.10	2.70
	2.23	3.90	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.59	2.40
	2.14	4.11	2.8	Watch
	2.60	3.55	2.35
	2.30	4.10	2.58	Watch
	2.36	3.95	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	3.94 ↓ (4.08)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frölunda
40%

Draw
23.8%

Brynäs
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

23.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Frölunda - Brynäs Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Frolunda HC (1.80) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Johansson L. (G)	30. Chrona M. (G)
6. Hasa F.	28. Kinnvall J.
7. Tommernes H. (A)	15. Bertilsson S.
11. Fagemo S.	33. Silfverberg J. (A)
44. Peterson J.	10. Larsson J. (C)
21. Puistola P.	81. Bellows K.
Line 2
43. Nilsson T.	61. Rindell A.
33. Hogberg L.	14. Hagg R.
9. Clarke G.	18. Rodin A. (A)
16. Persson A.	9. Jarnkrok C.
77. Lindholm M.	23. Lindblom O.
Line 3
8. Johannesson S.	29. Andersson A.
26. Heens I.	27. Norlinder M.
12. Friberg M. (C)	12. Gauthier J.
40. Hasa N.	11. Anderson-Dolan J.
92. Cederqvist F. (A)	8. Trivigno B.
Line 4
3. Milosevic S.	2. Raftheim V.
27. Olausson O. (A)	38. Hillstrom G.
31. Lasu N.	36. Olund L. (A)
10. Westergard M.	71. Jonsson Fjallby A.
Substitutes
70. Dower Nilsson L.	20. Gastrin M.
30. Normann T. (G)	31. Kallgren E. (G)
Coaches
. Ohlsson R.	. Gallstedt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:48, 0 - 1, Bellows K. (G), Larsson J. (A), Silfverberg J. (A2)
20:00, Nilsson T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:09, Gauthier J. (2 min),
07:09, Anderson-Dolan J. (2 min),
07:09, Hasa N. (2 min),
08:37, 1 - 1, Fagemo S. (G), Clarke G. (A), Tommernes H. (A2)
12:08, Hasa F. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:54, Clarke G. (2 min),
10:16, Andersson A. (2 min),
10:31, 2 - 1, Friberg M. (G), Fagemo S. (A), Tommernes H. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 3.

Frölunda has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Brynäs has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Frölunda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Frölunda has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:52 (averaging 2.6:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frölunda against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 30:23 goals (averaging 3:2.3 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Frolunda: 14.54% Brynas: 11.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Frolunda	7	5	1	0	1	24:17	17
5	Brynas	7	4	0	0	3	21:15	12

Last Results with these Odds

Frölunda - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.71%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Brynäs - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frölunda HC
SHL
26.09.26	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Luleå - Frölunda	3:7 ✺
22.09.26	Frölunda - Färjestad	3:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Frölunda - Växjö Lakers	5:4 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Storhamar Dragons - Frölunda	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Brynäs IF
SHL
29.09.26	Brynäs - Timrå	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	4:2 ✺
22.09.26	Linköping - Brynäs	2:9 ✺
19.09.26	Skellefteå - Brynäs	7:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
28.02.26	Brynäs - Frölunda	3:0
Champions League Ice Hockey
20.01.26	Frölunda - Brynäs	2:2
13.01.26	Brynäs - Frölunda	0:2
SHL
20.12.25	Brynäs - Frölunda	1:3
06.12.25	Frölunda - Brynäs	3:0
30.09.25	Frölunda - Brynäs	3:1
27.02.25	Frölunda - Brynäs	0:2

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