Match Info

SHL

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Scandinavium (Göteborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1


	Frölunda		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.3	2.8	Watch
	2.18	4.1	2.7
	2.25	3.95	2.8	Watch
	2.24	3.67	2.84
	2.24	3.88	2.78	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.7
	2.2	4.05	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.13)	3.98 ↓ (4.2)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frölunda
42.5%

Draw
23.6%

Skellefteå
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

22.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

23.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Skellefteå have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Frölunda - Skellefteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Normann T. (G)	38. Mann S. (G)
8. Johannesson S.	25. Johansson P.
7. Tommernes H. (A)	52. Lundberg A.
12. Friberg M. (C)	9. Stjernborg V.
40. Peterson J.	33. Forsfjall Z.
9. Weissbach L.	27. Lundberg M.
Line 2
43. Nilsson T.	3. Grahn V.
33. Hogberg L.	6. Forsfjall M.
41. Stenberg I.	29. Aagaard M.
27. Niederbach T.	24. Lindberg O. (A)
11. Lindholm M.	96. Hugg R. (A)
Line 3
2. Folin Ch.	43. Krogdahl M.
26. Heens I.	57. Djuse E.
21. Innala J.	12. Lindberg V.
25. Ruotsalainen A.	17. Lindholm P. (C)
92. Cederqvist F.	14. Johnson A.
Line 4
46. Egli D.	20. Lindgren Z.
32. Hasa N.	15. Bryggman L.
31. Lasu N. (A)	22. Johnson J.
86. Thorell E.	71. Davidsson J.
Substitutes
44. Dower Nilsson N.	11. Landstrom T.
1. Johansson L. (G)	32. Soderstrom L. (G)
Coaches
. Ohlsson R.	. Hermansson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
12:39, Grahn V. (2 min),
17:01, Folin Ch. (2 min),
17:01, Hugg R. (2 min),
17:28, Johansson P. (2 min),
19:55, Dower Nilsson N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:42, 0 - 1, Johnson A. (G), Lindholm P. (A), Djuse E. (A2)
13:38, Bryggman L. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:02, Bryggman L. (2 min),
19:33, 0 - 2, Hugg R. (G),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 3.

Frölunda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Skellefteå is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Frölunda has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 57:54. (average 2.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Frölunda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 3.4:2.4).

Outrights of SHL for now

Skelleftea: 20.47% Frolunda: 13.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Frolunda	8	5	1	0	2	26:20	17
4	Skelleftea	8	4	1	1	2	28:21	15

Last Results with these Odds

Frölunda - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frölunda HC
SHL
21.02.26	HV71 - Frölunda	1:5 ✺
19.02.26	Örebro - Frölunda	5:4 OT ✺
10.02.26	Frölunda - Växjö Lakers	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Luleå - Frölunda	7:3 ✺
05.02.26	Växjö Lakers - Frölunda	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
21.02.26	Skellefteå - Färjestad	6:2 ✺
19.02.26	Skellefteå - Leksand	1:2 OT ✺
07.02.26	Skellefteå - Örebro	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	HV71 - Skellefteå	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
22.01.26	Frölunda - Skellefteå	3:4 OT
27.11.25	Skellefteå - Frölunda	2:4
02.10.25	Skellefteå - Frölunda	2:3
11.02.25	Frölunda - Skellefteå	5:1
28.12.24	Skellefteå - Frölunda	5:1
29.10.24	Frölunda - Skellefteå	4:2
26.10.24	Skellefteå - Frölunda	0:4

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