The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genève-Servette 24.5%
Draw 20.4%
ZSC Lions 55.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.9%
21.7%
48.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
23.2%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genève-Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genève-Servette's form might have worsened.
ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ZSC Lions's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genève-Servette, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ZSC Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
02:41, 0 - 1, Lammikko J. (G), Gruber K. (A), Lehtonen M. (A2)
10:36, Karrer R. (2 min),
10:36, Henauer M. (2 min),
12:01, 0 - 2, Grant D. (G), Lehtonen M. (A),
12:49, Puljujarvi J. (5 min),
15:06, 0 - 3, Froden J. (G), Malgin D. (A), Kukan D. (A2)
15:35, 0 - 4, Andrighetto S. (G), Froden J. (A), Malgin D. (A2)
17:09, Kukan D. (2 min),
17:17, 1 - 4, Miranda M. (G), Henauer M. (A), Chanton G. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:35, Weber Y. (2 min),
17:48, Gruber K. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:20, Chanton G. (2 min),
15:39, Miranda M. (2 min),
18:29, Puljujarvi J. (2 min),
18:29, Weber Y. (2 min),
19:12, 1 - 5, Baechler N. (G), Hrubec S. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genève-Servette won 4.
In recent outings, Genève-Servette has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
ZSC Lions is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
ZSC Lions could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, ZSC Lions has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
ZSC Lions carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Genève-Servette has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:60 (averaging 2.6:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Genève-Servette against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:28 goals (averaging 2.6:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Zurich
16
12
3
0
1
67:35
42
5
Servette
17
6
3
2
6
45:53
26
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zurich: 28.78% Servette: 12.19%
Last Results with these Odds
Genève-Servette - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.88%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
ZSC Lions - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.43%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.