Match Info

National League - Round 51

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Porrentruy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Ajoie		Genève-Servette

	1	X	2
	4.75	5.25	1.5	Watch
	4.6	4.75	1.56
	4.5	4.8	1.57
	4.39	4.82	1.57
	4.64	4.92	1.55	Watch
	4.75	4.75	1.4
	4.81	4.96	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.85)	4.89 ↑ (4.5)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ajoie
20.1%

Draw
19%

Genève-Servette
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

20.8%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

21.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Genève-Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genève-Servette's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajoie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genève-Servette, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ajoie - Genève Servette Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
40. Ciaccio D. (G)	38. Charlin S. (G)
11. Reunanen T.	44. Rutta J.
3. Honka A.	21. Berni T.
13. Robin L.	9. Puljujarvi J.
41. Bellemare P-E.	65. Manninen S.
74. Nattinen J.	60. Granlund Mar.
Line 2
37. Nussbaumer A.	46. Saarijarvi V.
26. Fey K. (C)	14. Chanton G.
20. Cormier C.	11. Praplan V.
8. Devos P.	19. Jooris J.
71. Mottet K.	16. Vesey J.
Line 3
91. Berthoud Y.	25. Karrer R.
15. Christe G.	90. Le Coultre S.
73. Cavalleri C.	80. Ignatavicius S.
70. Romanenghi M.	78. Pouliot M.
87. Pedretti M.	13. Hischier L.
Line 4
18. Pouilly B.	77. Sutter D.
4. Hazen J.	85. Miranda M.
19. Wick J.	23. Verboon M.
27. Schmutz R.	96. Rod N. (C)
Substitutes
30. Keller A. (G)	91. Akeson J.
	29. Mayer R. (G)
Coaches
. Ireland G.	. Peltonen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
07:12, Cavalleri C. (2 min),
07:12, Karrer R. (2 min),
08:17, 1 - 0, Nattinen J. (G),
08:57, 1 - 1, Miranda M. (G), Rutta J. (A), Verboon M. (A2)
17:50, 1 - 2, Karrer R. (G), Ignatavicius S. (A), Hischier L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
04:28, Manninen S. (2 min),
10:04, 1 - 3, Jooris J. (G), Vesey J. (A),
10:53, 1 - 4, Granlund Mar. (G), Puljujarvi J. (A), Berni T. (A2)
15:28, 1 - 5, Pouliot M. (G), Berni T. (A), Ignatavicius S. (A2)
17:00, Chanton G. (2 min),
18:22, 2 - 5, Mottet K. (G), Hazen J. (A), Wick J. (A2)
18:34, 2 - 6, Granlund Mar. (G), Berni T. (A), Rutta J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
00:01, Ciaccio D. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
06:55, Pedretti M. (2 min),
10:53, Manninen S. (2 min),
14:32, Cormier C. (2 min),

Preview

Ajoie is National League (Play Out )

Genève-Servette is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 2.

Ajoie is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Genève-Servette has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Genève-Servette may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Genève-Servette is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 41:74. (average 2.1:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajoie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 2.2:3.4).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Servette: 8.7% Ajoie: 0.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Servette	11	5	2	2	2	33:29	21
5	Ajoie	11	2	4	2	3	35:38	16

Last Results with these Odds

Ajoie - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.27%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
05.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	2:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	Ajoie - Lugano	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	ZSC Lions - Ajoie	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Bern - Ajoie	5:0 ✺
30.01.26	Ajoie - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Genève-Servette HC
Swiss National League Hockey
05.03.26	Genève-Servette - Biel	5:3 ✺
28.02.26	ZSC Lions - Genève-Servette	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Genève-Servette - Bern	4:3 OT ✺
24.02.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Genève-Servette	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lugano - Genève-Servette	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
06.12.25	Genève-Servette - Ajoie	6:1
15.11.25	Ajoie - Genève-Servette	2:0
09.09.25	Genève-Servette - Ajoie	5:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Ajoie - Genève-Servette	1:4
Swiss National League Hockey
28.01.25	Genève-Servette - Ajoie	2:4
23.12.24	Ajoie - Genève-Servette	2:4
30.11.24	Genève-Servette - Ajoie	4:3 OT

Upcoming Matches